Sea Ice News: Arctic sea ice extent making a sharp right turn

Over the past few days, Arctic sea ice extent has braked dramatically in the daily loss rate and now has made a sharp right turn, which is rather unusual. Here’s the JAXA extent:

What does this mean? The short answer is, probably nothing. When we approach the minimum, and the ice pack becomes more fractured and scattered, it also becomes more susceptible to the vagaries of local and regional wind and weather.

One factor appears to be the Greenland Sea, where sea ice began to grow on July 15th and has been trending above average since then.

Clearly, at present, air temperature in the Arctic is not in any way climatologically abnormal, so the reasons for the current extent being low and making erratic turns must lie elsewhere. Wind, soot deposition/albedo, ocean currents, etc. all factor in.

So, while we may have temporarily avoided a new record minimum (as many in the “Serreze death spiral” camp said we are headed to) there’s still the possibility that the plots will turn to the left again, and resume or even accelerate. It all depends on the weather, and the outcome could go either way at this point. Historically, we have about 7 more weeks before the turn upwards as the Arctic begins the slow re-freeze.

Still, it makes for interesting observation and discussion. The WUWT sea ice page has all the latest stats, updated as soon as they are made available.

A right and left around the ring
While the roosters crow and the birdies sing.

Ace of Diamonds, Jack of Spades,
Meet your partner & all promenade.

All join hands and circle to the south,
Get a little moonshine in your mouth.

All join hands and circle wide,
spread right out like an old cow hide.

All join hands in a great big ring
Circle round and round with the dear little thing.

All jump up and never come down,
Swing your pretty girl round and round.

All the way over, back with pride
When you’re through we’ll take a ride

Allemande left with the corner maid,
Meet your own and promenade.

Allemande left with your left hand,
Bow to the partner, and there you stand.

Ambulances and big black hearses,
Swing those doctors, swing those nurses.

Betty can swing, the best ya ever saw,
I’ll take the girl from Arkansas.

Big foot up and little foot down
Make the big foot jar the ground.

Big foot up, little foot down,
Grab your own and swing ‘em round.

Bow to you partner and the corner miss,
To the opposite lady just blow a kiss.

Bow to your partner, corner salute
Circle left, go lickety-scoot.

Call your dogs and grab your gun,
Let’s start dancin’ and have some fun.

Cat in the barn, rat in her mouth
Grab your honey and head her south

Chase the rabbit, chase the squirrel,
Chase the pretty girl around the world

Chase the rabbit, chase the ‘coon,
Chase that big boy around the room

Chew tobacco and spit on the wall
Take your gal and promenade the hall

Chicken in the bread pan pickin’ out dough
Big pig rootin’ up the little tater now.

Chicken in the bread pan scratching out gravel,
get your maid & away you travel.

Chicken on a fence and possum on a rail
Take your honey and away you sail.

Comb your hair & button your shoe,
promenade home like you always do.

Corn in the crib, wheat in the sack,
meet your partner & promenade back.

Crack that whip, jerk the line,
Lets start dancing and have a good time.

Do si do don’t you know,
You can’t catch a rabbit till it comes a snow.

Dog in the corner gnawin’ on a bone,
Meet your girl, promenade ‘er home.

Down in the barnyard swinging on a gate,
Swing your honey and don’t be late

Ducks in the mill pond, geese in the clover,
Hide that pretty girl ‘cause I’m comin’ over.

Ducks in the river going to ford,
Coffee in the little rag, sugar in the gourd.

Everybody swing and whirl
Swing ‘round and ‘round with your pretty little girl.

First you whistle, then you sing
All join hands and make a ring.

Four ladies chain and don’t be slow,
Turn that girl with the cute elbow.

Four little ladies promenade around,
Get back home, swing him upside down.

Gertrude is clever and Kathy is witty,
I want the girl from Kansas City.

Grab that filly and give her a spin
Twice around with your haunches in.

Hand over hand and heel over heel
The faster you go, the better you feel.

Hay! Straw is cheaper, grass is free,
Horses eat it, why don’t we?

Here we go on the heel and toe
Hurry up, cowboys, don’t be slow.

Here we go with the ol’ red wagon
Hind wheel broke and the axle draggin’.

Honor your partner, and your corner too,
Now wave at the gal across from you.

Honor your partner, corners all
Honor your opposite across the hall
And that’s it - that’s all.

Hull those peas and hull them right
Swing your honey if it takes all night.

Hurry up boys and don’t be laggin’,
Paw’s coming home with a little red wagon.

Hurry up cowboy, don’t be slow,
You won’t go to heaven if you don’t do so.

Hurry up girls, don’t be slow,
kiss the caller before you go

Hurry up, Grandpa, can’t you see
You’re not as young as you used to be.

I don’t know but I believe,
I’ll be home by christmas eve.

I got a gal in Tijuana,
She knows how but she don’t wanna.

I got a wife and she’s a daisy
She won’t work and I’m too lazy.

I got a wife who’s lean and tall,
sleeps in the kitchen with her feet in the hall.

I know a gal, lives on a hill,
She won’t dance but her sister will.

I sold my cow & I sold my calf,
I sold ‘em both for a dollar and a half.

Into the center with a whinny and a neigh
Feed ‘em on oats and a bale of hay.

It ain’t a goin’ to rain,
It ain’t a goin’ to snow,
All join hands and away we go

It’s been a while, since way back when,
I’d swing a girl with a dimple in her chin.

Jenny is sweet, and Sally is a good’n,
I want the girl with tapioca puddin’.

Ladies to their seats and gents all foller
Thank the fiddler and kiss the caller

Left allemande and right-hand grand,
And you promenade to beat the band.

Lift your feet and set them down,
Swing your honey go round and round.

Mary can stand up, Molly can fiddle,
I want Judy, cuz she’s in the middle.

Meet and swing and don’t get cross
Promenade with the guy who’s boss.

Meet that gal and promenade
Promenade that lady fair
Promenade go ‘round the square.

Meet that gal with her petticoat a floppin’
Shoe fell off and a hole’s in her stockin’ - (Promenade)

Meet your gal and promenade - promenade
Go ‘round the ring, ‘til the roosters crow
And the birdies sing.

Meet your honey and promenade eight
Promenade eight ‘til you get straight.

Meet your maid and promenade ‘round
Like a jay bird walking on frozen ground.

Meet your own with a great big smile
Promenade, go about a mile.

Meet your partner with a great big smile
Promenade boys, go ‘bout a mile.

Meet your Sally, meet your Sue
Meet the little gal with the run-down shoe.

Mingo, bingo, six-penny high.
Big piggy, little piggy, root hog or die.

Oak post crook, elbow hook,
the more you swing, the better you look.

Old Ida Red she ain’t no fool,
She can put a saddle on a hump back mule

Promenade - you know where
And I don’t care
Take her out and give her some air.

Promenade and don’t be slow,
Where we’re going nobody knows

Promenade and don’t relax
You just got the well-known ax

Promenade eight and promenade all,
Promenade eight to the hole in the wall.

Promenade go ‘round and ‘round
Like a jay bird hoppin’ on frozen ground.

Promenade go six by nine,
get on home, you’re doing fine.

Promenade it’s off you go,
seat your pards and let ‘em blow.

Promenade on a heel an’ toe
like a bare-footed boy in a frozen snow.

Promenade round that ring so fine
Till the cows come home
And the Oxen-dine.
Hi Tony!

Promenade take that gal
Take a little walk to the old corral

Promenade this cute little chick,
Make those heels go clickity click.

Promenade this dear
Whisper sweet things in her ear

Promenade two and promenade four,
Keep that calico off the floor.

Promenade, go two by two
Now you walk ‘em home like you used to do.

Promenade, go ‘round the hall
Tote that bucket and muck that stall.

Promenade, you go side by side
Like a knock-kneed groom and a bow-legged bride.

Promenade, you know where and I don’t care
Take your honey to an easy chair.

Pull off your shoes, roll up your socks
Swing those girls till you rattle their hocks.

Randy and Andy and Billy and Bob,
All want Lucy and corn on the cob.

Ridin’ through Georgia in a beat up jalopy,
I met me a gal all slippery and sloppy.

Right and left on the heel and toe
Hi there Mary, Hello Joe.

Roll the barrel, tap the keg,
Save the oyster, break the egg

Rope the cow, brand the calf,
Swing your honey once and a half

Saddle your bronc, cinch ‘em tight,
Promenade boys & do it right.

Same old boy, same old route,
Good old shoes that won’t wear out.

Same old road, same old trail,
Watch that monkey walk that rail.

She likes whiskey and I like rum
Now that’s where all the trouble begun.

She was sixteen, I told her I’d wait,
Down by the mill or the garden gate?

She’s that gal from _____ _____ City
Golly gee now ain’t she pretty.

Some girls are pretty, and some are not,
But boy, you’re stuck with the one you’ve got

Sometimes you win, and sometimes you lose,
I want the girl in the high heel shoes.

Stop where you are, and don’t be blue,
The music quit, so I will too.

Swing ‘em early, then swing ‘em late,
Swing ‘em ‘round Mr. Meadow’s gate.

Swing ‘em high and whirl ‘em low
Keep on swinging your calico.

Swing ‘em high, then swing ‘em low,
Turn ‘em loose, and watch ‘em go.

Swing her Mack, don’t break her back.

Swing that lady with a hole in her stockin’,
Knees keep a knockin, petticoat a floppin’

Swing the colonels, then the captains,
Swing their girls, but don’t you drop ‘em.

Swing with Mary, swing with Grace,
Allemande left with old Prune Face

Swing your gals with all your might
Swing ‘em all day and swing ‘em all night.

Swing your honey round and round,
any old way but upside down.

Swing your honey, go ‘round and ‘round
Lift her feet right off the ground.

Swing your little sage-hen ‘round and ‘round,
‘Till the heel of your boot makes a hole in the ground.

Swing your partner round & round,
put her in the toilet and flush her down.
This one is obviously politically incorrect.

Swing your partner round and round,
‘til the hole in yer head makes a whistling sound.

Swing your partner ‘round and ‘round
With a pocket full of rocks to hold you down.

Swing your partner, don’t be late,
Swing on the corner like swinging on a gate.

The good girls walk, the bad girls ride,
Come on bad girl, my car’s outside.

The little banty rooster told the little banty hen,
I’ll meet you around the corner at about a half past ten.

The whip held high, the reins a bit slack,
Promenade home on the same old track.

This one’s pretty, so is Frank,
But I’ll take my gal to the water tank.

Tie up the dogs and kill the cats
Now double the dose, that’s tough on rats.

Tighten up the belly band, loosen up the traces,
All join hands we’re off to the races.

Tighten up the bellybands and looses up the traces,
All join hands and get to your places.

Two old maids lying in the sand,
Each one wishin’ the other was a man.

Up the river and around the bend,
All join hands, we’re gone again.

We don’t care just how we look,
‘cause we’re gonna have our picture took.

Well I took a stick to my old mule,
He kicked me flat, he ain’t no fool.

Wipe off your chin, pull down your vest
And swing that girl that you love the best.

You take Angela and her sister, Kate,
I’ll be with Babs and we’ll be out late.

You take Sally, and I’ll take Sue,
We’ll take ‘em back like we always do.

You talk to me, and I’ll talk to you,
You swing me and I’ll swing you.

Your right foot up and left foot down
Hurry up there, or you’ll never get around.

Meet your girl on the other side,
she’s 6 foot tall, 5 foot wide,
Promenade go round the land,
big fat girl and little tiny man

Butterflies have wings of gold;
Moths have wings of flame;
Bed bugs don’t have wings at all
But they get there just the same.

I went to go pick up my girl,
She met me at the door,
Her shoes and stockings in her hand,
Her face all over the floor.

Mary had a little lamb,
You’ve heard this one before...
And so she passed her dinner plate,
And had a little more.

Raccoon’s tail got a ring around;
Possum’s tail is bare;
Rabbit ain’t got no tail at all,
Just a little old hunk of hair.

Who’s that girl with the red dress on
Some folks call her Dinah
She just stole my heart away
Down in Carolina

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