Sorry, I should have been more specific. To me a "modest number" of data points is several hundred, maybe a thousand. (I routinely deal with data sets in the tens of thousands, pushing 7 figures)
In the case of a hundred or so data points, for any reasonably self-consistent data set (eg. surface temperature) that isn't likely to see wild data points then any one does not have much of a chance of drastically influencing slope of the line.
17 posted on 02/02/2012 4:59:44 AM PST by ThunderSleeps
(Stop obama now! Stop the hussein - insane agenda!)
Here are Briggs's realistic time-series examples: and taken from here.
18 posted on 02/02/2012 6:00:16 AM PST by The_Reader_David
(And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know. . .)