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RCP has Ob ama ahead in the large electoral states,mostly blue and purple. That is why he is ahead. Mitt has to win some purple states and take back some of the ones Bama won in 2008 like Fla., NH,NM, Ind. NC, Ohio. If he can, the electoral votes will change. Popular vote only translates into electoral votes and in that way, yes, B ama still leads. But, that could change. Some states are pretty close with Bama ahead by 2-3 pts. That can be turned in 80 plus days by good ideas and ads and visitation. We shall see if that happens. Then too, Pubs might actually outvote Dems this time and if so, more than one Bama state could turn .

RCP is crap: when you average well-respected polls with proven methodology, sampling, and refusal corrections with silly, largely unscientific polls such as FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics or Quinnipiac with reputable pollsters like Gallup or Rasmussen, you don't get a more accurate poll, you get a less accurate one. My calculator says pi is 3.14159265359; My slide rule says it's 3.14. Averaging the two to get a "better number" isn't anything but stupid. Statistics with different cohorts don't add, and only innumerate d-bags claim they do.

Nobody is paying attention until after Labor Day, and the numbers will not settle until mid-October at the earliest. The Polls of Adults and Registered Voters are push polls designed to shape public opinion and nothing more. Here are the numbers the incumbent needs to pay attention to: 1) Approval Rating. At +43, he is in serious trouble. 2) Right Track/Wrong Track. with the wrong track number nearing 70%, he is in VERY VERY SERIOUS TROUBLE.