Weather System in Gulf South of Mississippi

NHC NOAA ^ | 9-5-2012 | Vanity

[topher]

There is a possibility of a shutdown of oil platforms in the Gulf because of a rapidly developing system South of the State of Mississippi.

It has gone from a 20% chance of tropical development to 40% chance in just the past few hours.

The oil industry tends to be very conservative in terms of making sure that it can evacuate workers in the Gulf.

It is possibble -- if this system continues to intensify that the Gulf of Mexico oil operations might be shut down in the next day or so.

[topher]

Though this system is headed in a South, it could still impact the oil patch offshore.

And if the system develops into a tropical storm and then turns North, it could dump rain on parts of Louisiana and Mississippi that has just been hit with flooding from Hurricane Isaac.

[Hillarys Gate Cult]

Sure it won’t be in Charlotte, NC by Thursday evening?

[topher]

The current posting from the National Hurricane Center on this system is:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED HURRICANE LESLIE...LOCATED ABOUT 465 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA... AND ON TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL...LOCATED ABOUT 1125
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

1. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS

NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$ FORECASTER STEWART

[Thunder90]

Surf’s up...

[topher]

Currently headed South, not North...

[GeronL]

weather is racist

[oyez]

Holy crap! Barry’s playing with the storm machine again.

[ZX12R]

[commish]

THis system is the remnants of Isaac that slowly moved south through Alabama the last few days dumping a ton of rain, and causing a lot of wind damage on an already soaked area.

[Blueflag]

Very true. If you followed the “loop” over the last week you could see the storm split off a southern depression and send the rest to NJ.

[NonValueAdded]

I caught a snippet from the Weather Channel yesterday about the possible re-emergence of Isaac in the Gulf with subsequent strengthening. Went to the NHC tropical outlook and there wasn’t a peep about this. And now here it is. Why, why, why? (and I want flying cars too)

[topher]

There was not much of anything left of Isaac until these storms popped up in the Gulf this morning.

This morning, it was a very large area of storms, but strictly offshore (which is good news for Southeast Louisiana and Southern Mississippi).

The Oil Industry has the real problem -- it takes a long time to evacuate the Gulf of Mexico, and if a storm pops out of nowhere, it is a real headache.

It can take 2+ hours to fly in by helicopter from the Gulf.

And that does not take into account the 2+ hours the helicopter must fly to reach a platform 200+ miles offshore.

[wxgesr]

http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/GOESEast.php

3 day loop on the left side...maybe leftovers from Isaac energy just looking at it.

[The Cajun]

Local weather guy out of New Orleans (Bob Breck Fox-8-) said that a front should pick it up and head it towards the Central Florida peninsula.
Most models I have seen , so far, verify his forecast.
Don't need any more rain in south Louisiana, my yard is just starting to dry up.

[NautiNurse]

As I understand, not enough of Isaac left in this system to call it Isaac again. If it develops, would be Nadine.

[topher]

From the Gulf of Mexico Satellite Site:

From this image, it appears the bulk of the rain is Southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

This morning there was much more rain off the Mississippi and Alabama Gulf Coasts.

It just may be the circular motion of this system that is causing it.

Hopefully, this system is headed South and not North...

[al_c]

As I understand, not enough of Isaac left in this system to call it Isaac again. If it develops, would be Nadine.

I prefer Isaac, Phase 2

Or:

Son of Isaac
Isaac, Jr.
Li'l Isaac

[topher]

Below is a link to the Java Loop of the Gulf of Mexico Satellite (Rainbow Color Infrared):

NHC NOAA Weather Satellite Link to Java Loop of Gulf of Mexico (Rainbow Infrared)

[gov_bean_ counter]

Jacob...

[topher]

AP has article on this system (via KATC ABC TV 3):

'Spawn of Isaac' moves into the Gulf

Max winds are 30 mph. I am not sure at what wind speed helicopters cannot fly to evacuate crews from the Gulf...