In my area its about normal. I’ve not been around enough to compare to 2008 but I’ve noticed more Romney signs in yards than Obama but then again I live in a very Republican area. The same goes with Bumper stickers. This is the time things start to heat up so you should see more of them. I’ve been volunteering for the local GOP and we ran out of several hundred signs easily at the county fair. Also a big difference this year is an upsurge in volunteers. I was often the one of few volunteering in my area while Obama had troops on the ground like I’ve never seen before. This year I don’t see much OFA presence. Obama isn’t very popular in most of Virginia outside of the NVA. I’ll let you know the mode come election day. If we have welfare Mom’s and guys who fit the “thug/player” stereotype lined up at 6:00 am in the morning in the rain like we did in 2008 it wont be good in VA. I don’t see any of the indicators that is going to happen this year.
The question this year is more whether Romney/Ryan can not only take advantage of less enthused Obama voters but get their own voters to the polls. That said my feel at this point is that Romney will win Virgnia by a good margin. McCain lost Virginia primarily because he didn’t have the money to really compete with Obama and that also happenned in NC. This year that is not the case. I don’t really think Romney or the National GOP are really running a very good race but Obama is in a very bad place and the polls that are worst for Romney assume Obama can not only reproduce 2008 but go one better. The Democrats do not have the advantage any more this year than in 2010 given registerations etc. The number of Democrats has fallen considerably.
The only worry I have is Romney being a weak candidate.
Exactly, which is why the current polls that hugely oversample Democrats based upon past advantages in registration are HUGELY out of whack. IMHO Romney wins in a landslide.