[muawiyah]

Hewitt failed to notice the new independent registrations. They're roughly equal to the Democrat losses.

I bet they'll vote anyway.

[Signalman]

Hewitt failed to notice the new independent registrations. They're roughly equal to the Democrat losses.

Good point. And since, historically, 80% of Indies vote for the challenger, that's even worse news for Obama.

[LS]

Sure they will. But will they vote D? All polls, even ones we don't like, pretty much have Romney slightly-to-greatly ahead among Is.

So in my spreadsheet analysis I assumed a 50/50 break---even though the rule of thumb is that Indies go for the challenger.