The specious early voting claims also distort the likely voter screen.
This discussion of flawed methodology of course assumes that they are even polling anyone at all, and not just making up numbers. Not accusing them, but what would keep them - or any pollster - from doing something like that? I seem to recall that Daily Kos had a pollster who got making up results that would always show the Democrat with a ridiculous lead.
Right. Polls are schizophrenic this year. That we *do* have some semblance of a fact check in the form of early voting data, and that early voting data is contradicting what is in the polls, is just one more piece of evidence why.
Best to ignore them. The VP debate will be the Democrats’ last hurrah, IMO.