Gallup’s top guy was just on with Chris Wallace and he refused to ‘predict’ the election outcome with two weeks to go.
On Oct 21 of 2008, Gallup had Obama +8. Obama won by 7.
Turn out the lights!
http://www.gallup.com/poll/107674/Gallup-Daily-Election-2008.aspx
Is Zogby still around? Haven’t heard any polling from him. He used to be the most accurate, now it’s Rasmussen.
A lot of these polls will favor the leftist until the last one before the vote.
The last one they try harder to be accurate because that’s what they are judged on for future business.
In '48 there was a third party candidate that got 11 points and in '76 it was predicted at less than the margin of error.
Rasmussen may be showing a tight race but finally they are seeing a falling Obama approval rate, down to -16 today! I watch that closely and believe this is important to leveling out some of the volitility.
The Supreme Court will likely settle this thing.
Actually doesn’t look to be that accurate. Gallup was #17 overall in 2008.