I'm not sure what is really happening with these state polls, but this statement is correct. Both sides surrogates and supporters seem to believe they are winning. Rush, Hannity, many personalities on Fox, etc, seem convinced Romney is winning and might even run away with it. On the other side, Nate Silver, InTrade, MSNBC, CNN, the networks, KOS, etc, seem absolutely certain that Obama is headed to a narrow election win.
It's weird that both sides are so convinced they are right. Usually one side just pretends to have momentum, but you can tell even they think they are losing. Everyone has been part of that and it's horrible. We all knew McCain/Palin was going down last time, but had to try to keep our spirits up and put on a good show. This time around it genuinely seems like both sides think they are winning.
Liberalism is a mental disease.
The key is to get away from places like FR and take an objective look at hard numbers. The polls support the narrow Obama victory side of things. They are all close but the EV count still favors Obama. Can Romney pull it off? Sure, but the euphoria that pervades places like FR tend to leave you heartbroken.