I wouldn't worry too much about it. Pat Caddel, Jimmy Carters former pollster, explained this yesterday on FOX. He said that the conventional wisdom is undecideds break for the challenger 2/1. He said that is true, but the 1/3 of undecideds that are going to break for the incumbent tend to do so earlier than the undecideds that break for the challenger. So the incumbent gets a bounce a few days before the election, and the challenger gets everyone else on election day. He said that Carters internal polling had him going up in the polls and in a statistical tie the Saturday before the election, however when the late deciders broke between Sunday and Tuesday, Reagan ended up winning by 8 points. He predicts the same thing in this race, however he says there are much fewer undecideds now than in 1980 so Romney can only get 2 or 3 percent as opposed to 8% for Reagan, so the race will not be a blowout. The fact is Obama has hit his ceiling, he's not going any higher. (In fact considering Ras still uses D+3 when gallup says the turnout will be R+1). The race could still very will end up being 53%R 47%O....
The race could still very will end up being 53%R 47%O....
Kind of ironic if Obama gets 47%