“We’ll make you a nice crow sandwich for lunch on Wednesday !
Fries with that ?”
In all honesty, I’m glad you were at least charitable with your reply. I was expecting the normal “get out of here liberal troll” that I often get even though I have been a conservative for 25 years and a member here for 8 years.
I will admit I am not a die hard Tea Party conservative but I am right of center nonetheless and often agree with some moderate conservative writers that are blasphemous here. I also will forever admire the writings and policies of my heroes including Teddy Roosevelt, Eisenhower, Nixon, Reagan, George HW Bush. I think our party needs realism, pragmatism, objective and painful embracing of facts and data.
This is why it is painful to see people like Drudge fool people into false hope like Baghdad Bob from a rooftop as the city was encircled by American tanks. Rasmussen and Gallup are running very risky likely voter screens that killed them in 2010. Look it up at RCP, they did the worst of all pollsters, off by 5 to 10 percentage points!
These are what the data tell us:
We will maintain a very SOLID majority in the house. To me, nothing else matters. There will be no disaster policies because of that fact. The conservatives will be writing the budgets and that’s that. We will be fine as a nation because of this.
The Senate could have been ours if we ran more pragmatic candidates in three or four races but as it stands, we will see a 54-46 or 53-47 split in favor of dems.
Here’s where the data are overwhelming but people are swallowing Baghdad Drudge:
Obama has PA, WI, MI, OH and NV. The data are overwhelming on this point. Those states are checkmate. One or two polls showing Romney up or tied vs 10 others that show him down 2 to 4 in each state just don’t pass social science muster. Science has taught me that cherry picking data points RARELY works.
I’m sticking with my previous and painful call:
Obama 294 (303 if he pulls off CO but data too muddy there)
Romney 244
Popular Vote: Obama by 1.8%
The polls are now baked in for 2012 and what could be done has been done. They ate it in 2000 and 2004, it’s time for us to eat it and take it like men. There will be another day to fight!
Lets get ready for a 2/3 Republican super majority in 2014 congressional elections!
Rasmussen Party Id: Republicans +5.8 (All Time Record)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/05/2012 | Scott Rasmussen
We'll keep that sammy on the hot plate for ya ;-)
And Barones opinion? Is that just wishful thinking on his part?