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To: jackmercer

Every radio show (not the big conservatives but the neutral ones like john and ken) and mainstream TV (not fox) says Obama will win and they go over the numbers and sound as definitive as freepers who say Romney will win.

I honestly don’t know who will win and I don’t trust the positive freepers because last time here everyone was sure McCain could pull it out. I felt deceived by the happy happy skittles poopers here.

I go over the maps and numbers and I frankly can’t be sure which states’ polls are more accurate, what turnout will be where, what cheating might get past, or anything.

I just don’t know. But praying and hoping for a clear Romney win!


147 posted on 11/05/2012 4:05:14 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: Yaelle

You’ve got to go beyond the polls and look what’s inside them. It’s like the statistical information that you get for a baseball player. You see a certain player has a .300 batting average, but that really doesn’t tell you much about what kind of player he really is until you look at the other statistical information.

Here are some numbers to consider:

Rasmussen just came out with a poll that 5.8% more of the voters self identify as Republicans than Rats.

Just about every poll, including most of the left leaning ones are saying that Romney is getting 8% more independents than Obama.

In almost every national poll, ZERO is not getting 50% of the vote, and the undecideds will break for Romney. It is usually a rule of thumb that undecideds will probably break about 67% for the challenger. Those that are undecided are not really for ZERO.

The ballots requested for absentee and early voting are approximately 263,000 better for the Republicans than 2008. That is a huge sign of voter apathy for ZERO and voter enthusiasm for Romney.

Virtually ALL of the polls that have ZERO ahead or tied have unsustainable/unrealistic turnout projections for Rats, most showing the same or better projections than 2008. That’s just not going to happen. People are just not excited about ZERO. When you account for this, it becomes clear that the true numbers are not that close at all.

Dick Morris, Newt Gingrich, and Michael Barone all say what I’m saying above and all of them are projecting a 6% popular vote victory and 320 EVs. When you look at all of the above factors, what they are saying makes a lot more sense than the crap we’re being fed by the MSM.


148 posted on 11/05/2012 4:28:03 PM PST by diamond6 (Hulu has "The Hope and the Change" for free: http://www.hulu.com/#!watch/409925)
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