#15 is a bit overdrawn. The capital ships that turned the tide in the Pacific were laid down in 1937/38. FDR was rearming when the war began; we were just a couple of years late getting started.
In 1940 our army was ranked tenth in the world, behind Belgium. Our ramped up production of war material was nothing compared to what it would be when it peaked in 1944. If what you mean by ‘’capital ships’’ i.e battleships, they didn’t turn the tide- aircraft carriers did. If that is what you mean I agree with you. But as to a full time war footing production, it wasn’t booming in the late thirties.FDR only instituted the draft in 1940.