So, to recap:
(1) There is an obvious pattern here, that is well corroborated by clear logical connections and documented facts.
(2) You can't describe the pattern, or remember the logical connections right now, but we should trust you, they are definitely there.
(3) If you've already told me to trust you and I still want to see some logic and some facts, then I'm either blind, or in on the conspiracy.
I trust you both.
A dozen people dropping dead of an emerging disease does not constitute an epidemic, but it is cause to pay attention.
The prudent man will pay attention and advise others to do likewise.