“Great guess; without the fifth-minute fluke that would be the result. Portugal’s second goal was great.”
Your logic would be great if teams never had injuries or unexpected losses.
Elo Ratings, http://eloratings.net/
Portugal #7 without the history of diving, colluding for draws, doping to win world cups, beating the USA in 2002 with a handball denying a goal, etc. etc.
“Portugal #7 without the history of diving, colluding for draws, doping to win world cups, beating the USA in 2002 with a handball denying a goal, etc. etc.”
Not sure what the point is; the US beat Portugal 3-2 in a game in which the Portuguese seriously underestimated the US.