This graph hasn't been updated for the Sept 10 figures, because the vertical isn't high enough. Latest WHO report has 4846 cases, 2375 deaths. Note you can't divide deaths by cases to get a death rate, because a lot of the cases are new and haven't had a chance to die yet.
On Aug 21 I projected at the then current rate of spread, we'd have 10,000 cases in 30 days. Cases have doubled since that time. Still got 9 days to go, but it now looks like it will be Sept 30 before we get to 10,000, instead of Sept 21st.
When I first calculated that projection the spread was at 5% a day. Over the last week, it looks like it's spreading at 3% a day.
So using the new spread rate 4846*1.03^9=
6,322 cases by Sept 21.
11,762 cases by October 12th.
69,300 cases by December 12th.
Still very serious if health care was breaking down with 2400 cases. How is it going to hold up to 11,000 or 69,000?
Meanwhile WHO moans he fact that nobody will travel anymore and surrounding countries are instituting the quarantine that WHO refused to call for.