Posted on 11/07/2016 5:08:27 PM PST by Viennacon
It is becoming increasingly possible for there to be a tie in the Electoral College with each candidate winning 269 electoral votes. In that case, Trump would win since, in the House, the Republican Party controls 33 state delegations and each state has one vote regardless of how many Congressmen it has.
Here’s how it could happen:
• Start with Trump winning all of the states Romney won, including North Carolina — which now appears likely. That’s 206 votes.
• Then, add in Trump wins in Ohio and Iowa where he is and has been ahead. That’s 230.
• Then, add Florida where Trump is now tied, having come back in recent days. Early voting tells the story. Romney lost the early voting by 161,000 votes and then gained among Election Day voters but only enough to lose the state by 74,000. Trump is now only 32,500 behind in early voting, so, if he gets the same Election Day bounce, he’d win by 60,000 votes. That’s 259.
• And in Colorado, entirely a vote by mail state, 7,000 more Republicans than Democrats have voted so far and Trump is likely to carry the large unaffiliated vote by a good margin. That’s 268.
• For the one remaining vote Trump needs to tie, Maine has changed its system so the statewide winner only gets two electoral votes and the remaining two are determined by how each Congressional District votes. One of the districts is solidly Democrat and the other is Republican. That’s 269 and a tie.
• Beyond 269? That’s iffy. Trump needs to pull an upset in New Hampshire (4), Nevada (6), Pennsylvania (20) or Michigan (16).
(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...
For the sake of the country we must have a decisive result.
There will not be a tie.
They are a Democrat, and unreliable.
Under pressure, extortion, and bribes, they will vote for Hillary if it makes a difference.
That surprises me. Pittsburgh is so d*mned crime ridden with East Liberty, Braddock, etc.
Republican ballots went ahead of Dem here today and Hillary has been making ad buys for over a week. Something is happening here.
I’m not surprised Morris is hedging his bets.
Hillary is try to stave off a loss. Campaigning in the final hours of the 2016 election in Philly is a sign of weakness, not a show of strength.
Its like GHW Bush campaigning in MT. Quite a statement of confidence.
“Trump needs to pull an upset in New Hampshire (4), Nevada (6), Pennsylvania (20) or Michigan (16).”......or Wisconsin or Minnesota (both are in play).
DM is a joke.
who would that be possible
He didn’t “predict” this. The article simply said it’s increasingly likely.
The thing is, I think PA is a long-shot, maybe 25% chance. The odds seem better for NV/NH/CO (at least two of the three), VA, MI, and WI before PA. Maybe even NM or one of the NE states some believe will be the night’s biggest surprise.
If he wins New Hampshire and Nevada OR any other state you mentions, he wins. Wouldn’t call any of these ‘upsets’.
Thy name is “JINX”
“Trump needs to pull an upset in New Hampshire (4), Nevada (6), Pennsylvania (20) or Michigan (16).”
I find it highly UN-likely that he loses all 4 of those states.
Trump as president and Hillary as vice president...sounds like a pitch for a bad sitcom.
He’s not picking tomorrow’s election he’s telling us how to bet in the match-up between Bootney Farnsworth and 40th Street Black.
Trump will win all four - no he’ll pick up VA, too.
Morris thinks Hillary is this great politician who just inspires people.
Uh, no - not if she needs Springsteen and Bon Jovi to pull in decent crowds.
if it does turn out to be 269/269 Dick may lick his own toes
Way to commit there, Dick!
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