Posted on 09/16/2018 7:18:55 PM PDT by Conserv
Being this is a CBS poll it is quite encouraging.
Conventional wisdom says that two incumbents with these results at this stage in the campaign are in bad shape. Undecideds are more likely to break for the challenger absent some major events that shakes up the race.
That major event is the upcoming vote on Kavanaugh. Will the voters buy the stunt that the Democrats have sprung, or will they call foul and punish any politician that plays dirty. I think that in McCaskill’s case, this will hurt her. Her hard core supporters from St. Louis and Kansas City urban cores could care less about Kavanaugh. The academicians in Columbia will be energized, but that will be countered by the rest of the state that have seen enough of Democrat shenanigans to push back with a strong backlash. We need to make both of these phonies commit to fairness or corruption.
The answer to this is: VOTE, be sure to get out and vote!
A yes vote on Kavanaugh will get them an ambassadorship if they lose.
If GOP tied in Sept, we win in Nov
I’m from Missouri and I count 13 votes for Hawley in my immediate family. (Children, spouses and grandchildren) We definitely need to get rid of Clare.
Friday, September 21 at 6:30 p.m. at JQH Arena on the campus of Missouri State University
CBS poll? All the result means is they failed to stack the deck. They’re incapable of telling the truth. The legacy of Dan Rather.
Maybe George Washington University can analyze and model these polls to find a few more bodies for the democrats.
In mediaspeak, “dead heat” means the republican is ahead.
Ever notice its always the democrat is ahead or “its too close to call”? Its never “the republican is ahead”
The AARP (whut?) Has polls out in MT, Tester up 7 and Gianforte up just 1.
Gravis has Gianforte up 8.
Baris has Cramer up anywhere from 2-7 now in ND.
Doubt seriously Tester is up. Baris says Judge K hurting him.
Hawley up 2. Machin only up 2.
Today Sabato said a Trump visit is good for 5 points-—but Baris says it’s short lived, maybe a week, so he has to be strategic in his final 10 days.
If CBS has it tied, Rs are up 2-3.
MT is a tough nut to crack for Republicans in Senate races.
New poll in ND, NBC North Dakota/Strategic Research Associates
Cramer up TEN
New poll in NJ Hugin (R) down only TWO.
He’s a RINO but that’s one less rat.
More important-—because Hugin won’t make a diff if we win the senate, which we will-—
Coffman now tied in internals in CO. This seat I had as one of my losses. Don’t see how Ds win without that, FL27, NY19, none of which are looking good for them.
Also, the guy in NC-—forget his name-—is doing well. He was another vulnerable guy.
So where will the Ds find 23 flips? I now have Blum (IA), McSally’s seat (AZ), 1 in CA, Tenney in NY (though she’s in a very red district), 1 in NJ, Bishop in MI, 3 in PA. That’s 9.
I have us with +2 flips in MN. That’s 7. Where are the other 16 seats gonna come from? The guys in MN think they can still get MN7 as well for a third flip; NV4 is very close; and FL7 just lost its D candidate (died). That’s a possible 5 more flips. Antonio Sabato thinks he’s within 5 in Ventura, CA, and there is at least one other potential flip in CA.
So I keep asking, where do the Ds get 23 flips?
Which one in CA, Issa’s open seat?
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