The US is way behind in testing, but catching up. We can expect a very significant rise in cases the next few weeks as testing capacity increases.
It will only validate what we’ve known for a while—that COVID has been circulating in some areas of the country for weeks.
Agreed.
But, there will come a point where CDC will change the testing criteria, just like China did, to artificially keep the case numbers down, or because they simply can’t keep up with the work load.
Currently China reports 80,000 cases.
For geo polictical purposes there is NO WAY the US, would want to admit we have as many or more cases than China, when we’re only 1/5th of their population. This would shake the world confidence in the dollar and maybe even as a global military strength (especially if reports come out about military infected cases)
I’d expect the testing standard to be changed by the CDC when we get to about 25,000 cases and if the doubling rate continues its current trend without slowing, that will be on or about one week from Sunday...March 22nd.
However, I leave my chart up there for FReepeer review.
My numbers are based on cases from BNO news, worlomometers and NY Times live reporting site and are added to the spreadsheet before I go to sleep each night, which usually leaves the west coat an hour or two to report cases.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
The graph shows the cases each day. The difference between the daily numbers there and mine are simply a matter of what time of day they plotted the graph, but the trend matches doubling every day as it stands. Hopefully. The rate slows so the medical infrastructure can keep up, or this is a big problem.
Hi all,
My first time in this thread, but have been watching intently since first posted on FR.
I live in one the most populated areas of my state. My wife is very high risk to respiratory diseases, me very rarely sick. She is on a z-pack at least twice a year.
We also bought a cabin in the woods a few years back for just such a situation. Its near Canada and very remote.
I cant really believe this is happening, but my wife has agreed we should bug out... if we need to.
Because she does not read FR I can say I am very proud of her. We had very candid discussions about our options and world news etc. And from someone who did not know what was going on 10 years ago to being informed on world events, and not just the virus was very refreshing.
Any ways we have decided that bugging out is our best way to protect her.
Money is tighter than in any point in our marriage, so I am on a STRICT budget of $100’s at any point in time, very low income flow. We are fairly prepared, but the cabin is a mile in on snow shows at this point, so using rent-a-space to start prepositioning needed provisions and supply’s.
On my latest information, my time line is:
Earliest estimate of US being out of beds May 2.
Two week incubation period April 15 - we need to be in a bubble by this point.
Cases are starting to pop up in Massachusetts, so I put the near limit at where she is seriously worried about going to work. Two weeks or more in the future. So I expect to leave somewhere between March 24 and April 15 if this does proceed to become a pandemic. Sooner if needed.
There is a great hospital within 20 minutes of the cabin.
I can work remotely, so will have an income, her no.
I get to live in a cabin in the woods for at least a month and carry a rifle every day, so there is that...