“Could”? “Odds”?
What possible external influences on this rock would prevent us from knowing right now?
Quick! Someone inform QAnon!!
The blogger wrote it as 1 in 40 to make it seem scary on-purpose, but that as a % is 2%.
Its orbit was calculated long ago, and the blogger is just recycling a story already ran over a year ago.
“What possible external influences on this rock would prevent us from knowing right now?”
Ricochet off another random asteroid? Implanted jet pack? Worm hole?