In the end I suspect meds will be discovered to not really be a part of it. 99.3% will recover. Remember the “roller coaster”? Well the “Recovered” are in the last car. We won’t get hard numbers until a month from now because it may take that long for a lot of people to recover. In a month if 30% of people have had it and recovered there will be fewer targets for new hosts. So even if the environment is “contaminated” it will be progressively less so as the days go by and a little more forgiving of “mistakes”. The new infected should be in serious free fall right now. We can’t know that because all the testing in the world couldn’t be done if we had infinite tests. We don’t have the logistical capability to do 100 million tests in days. Maybe we should develop that. It’s debatable that it is a National Priority.
Run some numbers, my FRiend.
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCD2-QVBQi48RRQTD4Jhxu8w
Chris Martenson has been running the numbers for weeks—and he has called this thing every step of the way.
He is worth your attention.
“In the end I suspect meds will be discovered to not really be a part of it. 99.3% will recover.”
In SK and on the DP it is mathematically impossible to achieve those results, even though in each case the entire resources of a whole country were marshalled to fight their respective outbreaks.
DP will likely be around 2% (hopefully less, but it is at 1.7% with a hundred cases left to resolve). SK has deaths at a higher rate than they are finding new cases, so their current 1.4% is certainly going to rise and will likely approach 2% as well.
Then there is anyplace that has a HCS collapse. Wuhan, Madrid, Milan, NYC, NO, LA...
Italy has a 10% DCR. That’s their CFR if you assume everybody else that is unresolved lives. Care to offer an estimate of the percentage that actually do? In order to get to a 0.7% CFR Italy would have to find about 1.1 million new cases and have all of them survive. Never gonna happen.
This ain’t no flu.