Offhand I wouldn’t guess but an idea is sort of knowable. “Seriously ill” is a couple days ahead of “dead”. Seriously ill minus todays’ dead equals your answer a couple days from now.
How does this number compare to ‘flu’?
Asking.
Have never heard of 30 somethings being on vents for the ‘flu’ before. I suppose it happens, but comparatively what is the guesstimated difference (OMG, spell checker likes guesstimated as a word, my HS English teacher just rolled over in her grave)
The Lancet used a 14 day offset between deaths and recoveries in their calculations.
The death toll 14 days ago compared to the number recovered today give a fairly stable number.
It’s more or less a cohort that got sick on the same day, with the fatal outcomes taking a week and recovery taking 3 weeks.