Kind of funny. I do think we are at the top, statistically. When the smoke clears the number probably will be about like the flu.
What about the morbidity though.
The problem is, the R0 is making it effectively happen all at once. Flu R0 is between 1.1 and 1.5, IIRC, but R0 has been estimated to be anywhere between 1.7 and 6 (!), making it a rapidly increasing illness. Thus, it is already slamming certain hospitals like flu never would. Combine that with the awful length of time that the worst cases are in ICU (with most of them apparently not making it), and certain hospitals in the NYC metro, southern Louisiana and Seattle have a very long row to hoe.
We’ll be lucky if this thing ultimately has an estimated death rate similar to the flu, bro.