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To: exDemMom

You didn’t and can’t respond to a single point I made about the math you are using. I acknowledge the value of data collecting. But if you think you can extrapolate from it, which was ALL I ever cautioned, your just being stubborn. Please go do whatever you want. Let us all know when you have predicted the future.


863 posted on 03/29/2020 2:07:00 PM PDT by Magnum44 (My comprehensive terrorism plan: Hunt them down and kill them.)
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To: Magnum44
I didn't respond to any point about my math because whatever you think I should be doing is not the practice in my field. Do you seriously think that a person who holds a PhD in a stem field does not know the pertinent mathematical functions for their field?

Here, since you have trouble with the concept, is a description of a bacterial growth curve. Mathematically, it is exactly the same as the spread of Covid-19. In fact, most biological functions behave in the same way, although some approach an asymptote rather than decay once the system runs out of resources. And, as I have already said several times, a polynomial accurately defines the curve to within a few thousandths before the curve reaches its second inflection point. And that is why I chose to use a polynomial curve fit (built into Excel) rather than the exponential (or logarithmic) equations.

You come across as an armchair quarterback.

Please go do whatever you want.

Of course I'm going to do "whatever" I want. Which is to use my knowledge and experience to analyze the pandemic.

Let us all know when you have predicted the future.

Let me know where I have "predicted" anything. All I did was graph the current growth of the pandemic, as I have done since Mar. 12. You're the one claiming that I'm predicting something. The only thing I can "predict" are likely trajectories, using established scientific principles.

864 posted on 03/29/2020 9:59:23 PM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org)
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