[Thud]

We both might be wrong. There are reports that the proportion of asymptomatic Wuhan Virus victims varies from country to country. The CDC director says it seems to be 25% in the US.

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/03/31/824155179/cdc-director-on-models-for-the-months-to-come-this-virus-is-going-to-be-with-us

[calenel]

“We both might be wrong. There are reports that the proportion of asymptomatic Wuhan Virus victims varies from country to country. The CDC director says it seems to be 25% in the US.”

Well, then, my projected infection rate of under 1% will hold out for a few days longer.

But the CDC has been behind and playing catch up quite a bit.

I strongly suspect that 25% is an artifact of less than comprehensive tracing of contacts and different thresholds for testing people.

But if not, then Good News! Fewer infected means slower spread.