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Corona Virus Daily Thread #43

Posted on 04/10/2020 10:52:27 AM PDT by LilFarmer

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To: bgill; firebrand

All the populations of infected outside the true hotspots are still small enough for statistical noise to be a factor. All it takes is one rogue preacher or a super spreader at the supermarket and bam!

I hope we never get to the point where the noise is drowned out by the magnitude of the pandemic.


61 posted on 04/10/2020 1:44:38 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: bgill

Those are Skilled Nursing Facilities, so most of their residents likely require care beyond the capability of their families. My dad stayed in these facilities a few times following major procedures that required a couple weeks of inpatient rehab. What a depressing place. Other than the folks there for rehab, it felt like a factory to keep people alive for $.


62 posted on 04/10/2020 1:55:23 PM PDT by ETCM
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To: mrsmith

https://twitter.com/ericcrawford/status/1248715288985698310

“The University of Washington COVID-19 has just revised its model, saying today will be the U.S. peak for daily coronavirus deaths.”

No link, but there is the new graph.


63 posted on 04/10/2020 1:55:29 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: DEPcom

Did Rush talk about deaths being classified as Coronavirus this week?

My brother keeps talking about counties/doctors classifying deaths as Cornonavirus now to run numbers up to get more money from the Government.


64 posted on 04/10/2020 2:04:05 PM PDT by DEPcom (Social Distancing is working)
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To: All

“Dozens of NY’s hospitals closed. Then COVID-19 hit. Now marginalized patients are dying. Here’s why”

- see https://www.democratandchronicle.com/story/news/coronavirus/2020/04/10/why-ny-hospital-closures-cutbacks-made-covid-19-pandemic-worse/5123619002/


65 posted on 04/10/2020 2:08:43 PM PDT by Fury
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To: LilFarmer

Well...breaking news...the assisted living place where MIL is, in Oregon, has employee who tested positime for Covid ...probably will show up this p.m. in numbers..only 37 residents...will see what happens.


66 posted on 04/10/2020 2:23:05 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: goodnesswins

Sorry to hear that, maybe it will be an isolated case. I think some of these homes are handling it better than others


67 posted on 04/10/2020 2:31:40 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: LilFarmer

Is likely isolated...this town has 4 Covid cases


68 posted on 04/10/2020 2:35:10 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: DEPcom

No doubt it happens, but those cases are the exception. NY by far has the largest number of reported deaths, and they have clarified that only those who die of CV19 and have a valid test are included. They have a separate count of “probable CV19 deaths” that are not included in their daily report that includes almost 200 a day where they are finding people dead in their homes, 8 times the normal number. It is far more likely deaths are being under-counted than over-counted.

Italy and Spain are trying to figure out why their “non-COVID” mortalities have risen several times normal, and suspect that many COVID-19 deaths were not identified. Heres a story on that:

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/04/coronavirus-is-only-part-of-the-excess-fatality-mystery.html

A lot of people think this whole thing is not just a global conspiracy, but a combination of MANY conspiracies. Everything they hear or read is twisted into a new conspiracy and EVERYONE is a conspirator. It’s really quite bizarre to watch folks move from theory to theory with each new post on random unknown blogs or twitter.


69 posted on 04/10/2020 2:36:16 PM PDT by ETCM
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To: chris37

Keep it up. the outdoor and and the Vitamin D from the sun can only do you good.

Glad it was such a wonderful day for you.

You sounded like you needed to de-stress.


70 posted on 04/10/2020 2:36:53 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith..)
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To: LilFarmer

Thank you, LilFarmer, for Corona Virus Daily Thread #43!


71 posted on 04/10/2020 2:43:30 PM PDT by Em and Brets Mum ("Lips that speak knowledge are a rare jewel." - Proverbs 20:15)
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To: metmom

Yep, I got a good amount of sun while I was there. But then it came out in force, got real hot quick, so I had to leave. I didn’t bring any water, food or my hat as it was a bit of an impulse unplanned excursion.

I think de-stress is a good way to describe it. When I got home, I felt stronger in spirit, and I used that to propel me over to the store for some supply replenishing. About to go into Walmart and see what they got.


72 posted on 04/10/2020 2:56:53 PM PDT by chris37 (Coronavirus wasn't born in a bowl of bat soup.)
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To: ETCM

NY is looking better at this point than I thought it would.

https://www.syracuse.com/coronavirus-ny/

At this time 777 deaths today from CV is still awful (and does not include those in-home deaths) , but that figure of 777 looks to be leveling out.

I wonder what current TOTAL ICU usage vs. capacity is? Ditto for ventilators?


73 posted on 04/10/2020 2:58:47 PM PDT by Paul R. (The Lib / Socialist goal: Total control of nothing left wort h controlling.)
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To: LilFarmer

Marines deploy to support Roosevelt carrier, Esper open to reinstating commander
APRIL 10, 2020 / 5:09 PM
By Christen McCurdyApril 10 (UPI) — The Navy has deployed a team of medical professionals to Guam to augment efforts to manage an outbreak of the novel coronavirus on the USS Theodore Roosevelt.

According to the Marine Corps, about 230 sailors and Marines arrived in Guam “throughout the first weeks of April” to support the Roosevelt’s medical staff in assessing, managing and treating symptoms of COVID-19 while the ship is docked in Guam.

As of Friday, 447 sailors from the ship have tested positive, and 3,155 of its 4,800-strong crew have been moved ashore in Guam, according to Navy figures reported by Stars and Stripes.

The aircraft carrier has been docked in Guam since late March, when it stopped on the island to test its crew of about 4,800 for COVID-19.

The outbreak has been the center of a political firestorm that resulted in the removal of its captain, Brett Crozier, and the resignation of the Navy’s acting secretary after Crozier sent a letter pleading for more resources to manage the outbreak.

Defense Secretary Mark Esper told CBS This Morning on Friday that he is willing to consider reinstating Crozier, pending the outcome of an investigation.

“No further action will be taken against Capt. Crozier until the investigation is completed.

https://www.upi.com/Defense-News/2020/04/10/Marines-deploy-to-support-Roosevelt-carrier-Esper-open-to-reinstating-commander/5461586552226/?sl=1&ur3=1


74 posted on 04/10/2020 3:00:07 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: LilFarmer

Massive Spike in NYC ‘Cardiac Arrest’ Deaths Seen as Sign of COVID-19 Undercounting

Hundreds of people are now dying at home in New York City daily
Published April 10, 2020 • Updated 5 hours ago
1:19/ 2:00
NBC Universal, Inc.

Across Long Island, volunteer emergency responders are answering your calls amid the coronavirus pandemic. Greg Cergol reports.

The FDNY reported a nearly 400 percent increase in “cardiac arrest” home deaths in late March and early April, a spike that officials say is almost certainly driven by COVID-19, whether they were formally diagnosed or not.

Between March 20 and April 5, the department recorded nearly 2,200 such deaths, versus 450 in the same period last year, according to data it provided on Friday.

The numbers are dramatically higher across the board — the numbers of calls, the number of deaths and particularly the percentage of such calls that end in death.

In just the first five days of April, more than 70 percent of cardiac arrest calls ended in a pronunciation of death every day. Some days, the numbers were up tenfold versus a year earlier — and everyone acknowledges there’s only one likely cause.

“It’s just horrendous. The numbers speak for themselves. This used to be a very, very rare thing in New York City and suddenly it’s jumped up. The only thing that’s changed is COVID- 19,” Mayor Bill de Blasio told reporters earlier this week. The city is moving to count more people in its official total, even if they were not tested for the virus.

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/massive-spike-in-nyc-cardiac-arrest-deaths-seen-as-sign-of-covid-19-undercounting/2368678/


75 posted on 04/10/2020 3:03:50 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: LilFarmer

AK
Total Cases
246 Cumulative (includes recovered cases)
Recovered Cases 55
Total Hospitalizations 28 Cumulative (does not reflect current stays)
Deaths 7
https://coronavirus-response-alaska-dhss.hub.arcgis.com/

WY
At this time there are 253 laboratory-confirmed cases and 87 probable cases in Wyoming.
4/10/20 (Updates made daily at about 3 p.m.)
Tests completed at Wyoming Public Health Laboratory: 2,800
Test completed at CDC lab: 1
Tests reported by commercial labs: 2,455
https://health.wyo.gov/publichealth/infectious-disease-epidemiology-unit/disease/novel-coronavirus/

KY
Current as of April 10, 2020 at 5 p.m. Eastern time
Kentucky Coronavirus Monitoring
Number Tested: 24,288
Positive: 1,693
Deaths: 90
https://govstatus.egov.com/kycovid19

DE
Positive Cases 1,326
*Negative Cases 10,415
Last Update: 4/10/2020, 5:00 PM
Total Deaths 23
Total Recovered 177
Hospitalizations 181
https://coronavirus.delaware.gov/


76 posted on 04/10/2020 3:11:13 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: chris37

I can’t stop smiling! It looks as though Petunia really enjoyed Not Groundhog Day:)

Thanks for posting your photos. A day by a wooded pond with Jesus and a beloved dog- what could be better?


77 posted on 04/10/2020 3:22:27 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: LilFarmer

CT
COVID-19 Update April 10, 2020
As of April 10, 2020, a total of 10538 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 have been reported among Connecticut residents (Figure 1). One thousand five hundred sixty-two patients are currently hospitalized. There have been 448 COVID-19-associated deaths. Of 68 deaths newly included in today’s report, 19 were persons who tested positive for COVID-19 and 49 were persons who died during March 30–April 8 without being tested for COVID-19 whose death certificate listed COVID-19 disease as a cause
of death or a significant condition contributing to death.

FL
Total Cases 17,968
Positive Residents 17,448
Hospitalizations 2,496
Deaths 419
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/96dd742462124fa0b38ddedb9b25e429


78 posted on 04/10/2020 3:28:52 PM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: mrsmith

“The University of Washington COVID-19 has just revised its model, saying today will be the U.S. peak for daily coronavirus deaths.”

No link, but there is the new graph.


and corrected some what to the errors I talked about , peak too high and slope after peak decline too steep

added about 1000 more deaths

but Italy update slope will be way way off still
https://covid19.healthdata.org/italy


79 posted on 04/10/2020 3:31:31 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: SE Mom

https://www.keloland.com/keloland-com-original/smithfield-now-4th-largest-hotspot-in-the-united-states-doh-to-declare-public-health-emergency-for-minnehaha-county/ “Smithfield Foods is not only a COVID-19 “hotspot” in South Dakota. According to the New York Times, it’s one of the worst hotspots in the United States. Sioux Falls Public Health Director Jill Franken’s department was able to tour the facility. More than 35% of all confirmed COVID-19 cases in South Dakota are tied to the Smithfield Foods facility in central Sioux Falls.”

https://www.keloland.com/news/healthbeat/coronavirus/state-discusses-safety-procedures-at-smithfield/ “Gov. Kristi Noem has declared a public health emergency in Minnehaha County. Health officials have connected nearly 200 case of COVID-19 to the Smithfield Foods in Sioux Falls. More than 500 South Dakotans have tested positive for COVID-19, a majority of them live in the Sioux Falls area – where there are now 390 cases. State Health officials say 190 cases are linked to Smithfield foods.”

This plant is the 4th biggest hot spot for CV in the US.

Remember, this company has had raids of illegals time and time again. Paula Deen is/was their spokesperson. It’s been on my ban list for years.

A Chinese company owns Smithfield Foods.


80 posted on 04/10/2020 3:32:07 PM PDT by bgill (Idiots. CDC site doesn't recommend wearing a mask to protect from COVID-19)
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