Posted on 06/12/2020 7:53:29 PM PDT by simpson96
(CNN)Joe Biden is reaching heights that Hillary Clinton never did this late in the campaign against Donald Trump. The former vice president holds a significant national lead of around 10 points and is over 50% support.
Yet a look at recent polls suggests Trump is outperforming where he was four years ago with a key part of the Democratic coalition: Hispanics. This could have implications for what electoral strategy Biden may need to take into the fall if he is to beat the President.
Clinton crushed Trump with Hispanic registered voters in the final 2016 preelection polls. She led by 61% to 23%. (I use the preelection polls for an apples-to-apples comparison for current polling.)
Biden, on the other hand, holds an average 58% to 33% lead among Hispanic registered voters in an average of eight live interview polls taken over the last two months.
These eight polls were ones for which I could procure a breakdown among white, Hispanic and black voters. All told we are looking at somewhere around 700 to 800 Hispanic voters total.
If we examine polls conducted over the last three months (so that we're looking at 15 polls and well over 1,000 interviews), it's Biden 58% to Trump's 32%.
Doing the math, Biden's margin of about 25 points is more than 10 points lower than Clinton's. This is more because Trump is doing better without third party candidates than Biden taking a lower share of the vote, though both seem to be occurring to some degree.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Hidin’ Biden poll numbers are meaningless A) before the convention B) before the debates C) before he has to make actual speeches D) they are made up anyway so who cares
I wonder if he’ll throw the blacks under the bus (again) and pick a Hispanic VP.
)Joe Biden is reaching heights that Hillary Clinton never did this late in the campaign against Donald Trump“
Well that’s a flat out lie. Remember no path to 270? The witch’s lead was as high as Joe’s all the way till November.
Latinos know that Sleepy Joe is old, feeble and sick - coming from authoritian societies, they respect strength
they may not like Trump, but they respect him.
I believe the BLM riots are moving more Hispanics into Trump’s corner.
Most Hispanics understood when Trump was talking about illegals, and not sending their best, he wasn’t talking about them, and they are in total agreement with what Trump says about illegals.
“Joe Biden is reaching heights that Hillary Clinton never did this late in the campaign against Donald Trump.”
Late in the campaign? How about late in the pre-campaign.
Joe just needs to habla some espanol at’em.
He is struggling with Inglés.
Not really. She never crossed 50%, while he is crossing that easily.
yes, many Hispanics i know are against illegal immigration and for law enforcement and are pro life and for conservative judges. There’s hope for Hispanic voters who only vote 70% for dems but blacks 93% for dems, doesn’t matter who either
love Hiden’ Biden -way better than sleepy Joe-should get the to the white House or Trump campaign
Crap. Biden can take a rest. He’s got this thing in the bag according to you guys.
Not really. She never crossed 50%, while he is crossing that easily.”
https://www.cnn.com/2016/10/23/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-presidential-polls/index.html
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