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Provisional COVID-19 Death Counts by Week...Total number of death on average since 2/12020 by cause of death [image and text]
CDC/National Center for Health Statistics ^ | September 9, 2020 | CDC

Posted on 09/21/2020 7:40:18 AM PDT by daniel1212

WeeklyExcessDeaths

WeeklyNumberByAge

Number of deaths reported on this page are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period. Data are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction and cause of death. See https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm for more information. Data for New York excludes New York City. Data on all deaths excluding COVID-19 exclude deaths with U07.1 as an underlying or multiple cause of death. Death counts were derived from the National Vital Statistics System database that provides the timeliest access to the vital statistics mortality data and may differ slightly from other sources due to differences in completeness, COVID-19 definitions used, data processing, and imputation of missing dates. Weighted estimates may be too high or too low in certain jurisdictions where the timeliness of provisional data has changed in recent weeks relative to prior years. Data for jurisdictions where counts are between 1 and 9 are suppressed.

Mortality Outcomes

Weekly counts of deaths from all causes were examined, including deaths due to COVID-19. As many deaths due to COVID-19 may be assigned to other causes of deaths (for example, if COVID-19 was not mentioned on the death certificate as a suspected cause of death), tracking all-cause mortality can provide information about whether an excess number of deaths is observed, even when COVID-19 mortality may be undercounted. These estimates can also provide information about deaths that may be indirectly related to COVID-19. For example, if deaths due to other causes may increase as a result of health care shortages due to COVID-19. Additionally, deaths from all causes excluding COVID-19 were also estimated. These counts excluded deaths with U07.1 as an underlying or multiple cause of death.

Comparing these two sets of estimates — excess deaths with and without COVID-19 — can provide insight about how many excess deaths are identified as due to COVID-19, and how many excess deaths are due to other causes of death. These deaths could represent misclassified COVID-19 deaths, or potentially could be indirectly related to COVID-19. Additionally, death certificates are often initially submitted without a cause of death, and then updated when cause of death information becomes available. It may be the case that some excess deaths that are not attributed directly to COVID-19 will be updated in coming weeks with cause-of-death information that includes COVID-19. These analyses will be updated periodically, and the numbers presented will change as more data are received.

Cause of Death

As of June 3, 2020, weekly counts of deaths due to select causes of death are presented. These causes were selected based on analyses of comorbid conditions reported on death certificates where COVID-19 was listed as a cause of death (see https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm#Comorbidities). Some causes with insufficient numbers of deaths by week and jurisdiction were combined with other categories, and one cause was added to the Alzheimer disease and dementia category (ICD–10 code G31). These estimates are based on the underlying cause of death, and include: Respiratory diseases, Circulatory diseases, Malignant neoplasms, and Alzheimer disease and dementia. ICD–10 codes were used to classify deaths according to the following causes:

Estimated numbers of deaths due to these other causes of death could represent misclassified COVID-19 deaths, or potentially could be indirectly related to COVID-19 (e.g., deaths from other causes occurring in the context of health care shortages or overburdened health care systems). Deaths with an underlying cause of death of COVID-19 are not included in these estimates of deaths due to other causes, but deaths where COVID-19 appeared on the death certificate as a multiple cause of death may be included in the cause-specific estimates. For example, in some cases, COVID-19 may have contributed to the death, but the underlying cause of death was another cause, such as terminal cancer. For the majority of deaths where COVID-19 is reported on the death certificate (approximately 95%), COVID-19 is selected as the underlying cause of death.

Deaths due to all other natural causes were excluded (ICD-10 codes: A00–A39, A42–B99, D00–E07, E15–E68, E70–E90, F00, F02, F04–G26, G31–H95, K00–K93, L00–M99, N00–N16, N20–N98, O00–O99, P00–P96, Q00–Q99). External causes of death (i.e. injuries) were excluded, as the reporting lag is substantially longer for external causes of death (4). Additionally, causes of death where the underlying cause was unknown or ill-specified (i.e. R-codes) were excluded (except for R09.2, which is included under the Respiratory diseases category). Counts of deaths with unknown cause are typically substantially higher in provisional data, as many records are initially submitted without a specific cause of death and are then updated when more information becomes available (4). For deaths due to external causes of death or unknown cause, provisional data are highly unreliable and inaccurate in recent weeks, and it can take six to nine months to ensure sufficiently accurate estimates. Counts by cause provided here will not sum to the total number of deaths, given that some causes are excluded.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Health/Medicine; Religion
KEYWORDS: covid19; covidcases; coviddeaths; hysteria
Excerpt from a larger report. The C in CDC does not mean clarity, but which is largely due to the complexities involved, and which it labors to explain.

However, this post is in response to the question, If COVID-19 restrictions work, then why are deaths from other sources higher? One answer would be that COVID-19 itself rarely, if at all ("For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned "), is what slays a person, but that of per-existing conditions (comorbidities).

As valid as this explanation is yet their is another factor involved, which are the effects of the restrictions themselves and which contribute to and go beyond some of the physical conditions, and which are reported in a study posted here .

1 posted on 09/21/2020 7:40:19 AM PDT by daniel1212
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To: daniel1212

Pinellas County Florida: 70% of deaths in long-term facilities.


2 posted on 09/21/2020 7:42:36 AM PDT by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: daniel1212

The USA is about to reach the unenviable death count of 200,000 !!


3 posted on 09/21/2020 7:50:31 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: daniel1212
Another chart:

0[1]

4 posted on 09/21/2020 7:53:30 AM PDT by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: SeekAndFind
The USA is about to reach the unenviable death count of 200,000 !!

Oh, it is past that at 204,165: However, over 2,000 unborn infants are slain daily, and About 655,000 Americans die from heart disease each year—that's 1 in every 4 deaths, while Fauci sanctions sodomite relations if you understand and are willing to take the risk, which is that over 80% of HIV cases among men result from that, but worshiping together in a church? That is forbidden.

5 posted on 09/21/2020 8:07:55 AM PDT by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

What do the numbers and percentages for each region [e.g.45 (14%)] represent?


6 posted on 09/21/2020 8:10:00 AM PDT by norcal joe
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To: TexasGator
A trend:
7 posted on 09/21/2020 8:15:11 AM PDT by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: norcal joe
What do the numbers and percentages for each region [e.g.45 (14%)] represent?

It means the % of the total. https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/regional-deaths/ Place cursor on the number.

8 posted on 09/21/2020 8:33:11 AM PDT by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: SeekAndFind; neverdem; ProtectOurFreedom; Mother Abigail; EBH; vetvetdoug; Smokin' Joe; ...
The USA is about to reach the unenviable death count of 200,000 !!

Unbelievable as opposed to the 2,500,000 the model predicted?

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

The false positive rate was 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

If a quarantine saves just one child's or one old fart’s life, it's worth it.

9 posted on 09/21/2020 8:35:11 AM PDT by null and void (It WON'T be a Biden presidency, the Dems do NOT need him. They just need the office. ~ Blueflag)
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To: daniel1212

“For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned “

You do understand that most contagious diseases act this way, right? They soften you up and what ever else you had wrong with you pounces. There are, for example, about 1350 “FLU was the only cause mentioned” deaths out of 30 million SYMPTOMATIC cases in your average flu season. So that would be some 60 million or so cases including asymptomatic cases for the flu versus 7 million symptomatic and asymptomatic cases of CCP-19, and 12,000 “just CCP-19” deaths.

Let’s see, 1350/60,000,000 versus 12,000/7,000,000. Hmm. It appears that “just CCP-19” is about 75 times as deadly as “just flu”.

Stop pushing this distortion of the statistics for your solipsist, narcissistic, insouciant agenda. If you really want to have, need to have, a special cause to rail about, go protest at Pelosi’s or Schumer’s house about their interference in the President’s right to nominate judges. That’s a much better and far more honest cause.


10 posted on 09/21/2020 8:36:41 AM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: daniel1212

How is NY that low? Doesn’t seem possible.


11 posted on 09/21/2020 8:38:09 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: daniel1212

But, but HEY, wait a minute-—
Didn’t Biden say that 3/4 of the population of the United States has died from the virus???? 200,000,000???


12 posted on 09/21/2020 8:58:08 AM PDT by Patriot777 ("When you see these things begin to happen, look up, for your redemption draweth nigh.")
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To: daniel1212

Yes. Now add the number of similar that got to the hospital before dying.

With the five nearest homes to my BIL, there have been three elderly deaths this year, none from covid.


13 posted on 09/21/2020 9:05:12 AM PDT by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: Patriot777

14 posted on 09/21/2020 9:57:23 AM PDT by Salamander (The left screams out in pain as they stab you.)
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To: null and void

How many of those were falsified so the county could get federal government money?


15 posted on 09/21/2020 11:48:54 AM PDT by rdl6989
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To: rdl6989

Your hospital has lost all the customers and income for nonessential services.

The government will give you $13,000 for each reported COVID patient, and $39,000 if they’re on a ventilator.

Without that income, your hospital will go bankrupt leaving hundreds of medical professional and support staff unemployed, and your county’s residents without access to local medical care.

What must you do?


16 posted on 09/21/2020 12:17:25 PM PDT by null and void (It WON'T be a Biden presidency, the Dems do NOT need him. They just need the office. ~ Blueflag)
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To: calenel
“For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned “ You do understand that most contagious diseases act this way, right?

Thou doth protest to much. Did you not see that the role of comorbidities is what I point out here for in which the 6% is mentioned as perpective: "One answer would be that COVID-19 itself rarely, if at all ("For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned "), is what slays a person, but that of per-existing conditions (comorbidities).

Let’s see, 1350/60,000,000 versus 12,000/7,000,000. Hmm. It appears that “just CCP-19” is about 75 times as deadly as “just flu”.

That is simply an invalid comparison as concerns lethality, since not only is the 2019-20 flu season not over - and thus far is more deadly to children - but the flu can be more more deadly than that of this year. Apart from the 1918 flu, the Asian flu of 57-58 with an est. 116,000 deaths is the rough equivalent of approx. 200,000 Americans die (since the population size in 57-58 was about half of what it is now), but which saw nothing proportionally akin to the all-ages COVID restrictions. And the death toll would have been substantially great if Americans then were in the poor health of today, in which when over 40% of Americans are obese, and this condition is the first or second primary factor relative to serious and fatal COVID-19 infections. With the overwjhelming majority of deaths being among the aged (as I am).

Stop pushing this distortion of the statistics for your solipsist, narcissistic, insouciant agenda. If you really want to have, need to have, a special cause to rail about, go protest at Pelosi’s or Schumer’s house about their interference in the President’s right to nominate judges. That’s a much better and far more honest cause.

Actually the two are related, for the long-term all-ages "safe mode" shutdown - which is having and will have its own very substantial death toll - is unreasonable, and ignores the actual cause, which is poor health, but hysteria is promotes as part of the leftist lust for power and preeminence.

17 posted on 09/21/2020 2:11:02 PM PDT by daniel1212 (Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

Alm8st 4 months old


18 posted on 09/21/2020 2:12:08 PM PDT by TexasGator (Z1z)
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