PEAK BIDEN?

Real Clear Politics ^ | 2020-10-14 | UBSOTOS

[UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide]

Biden down a full point in 24 hours.

[UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide]

Peaked at 10.2, now 9.2. Last 6 polls average 7.8. Fake polls giving way?

[philippa]

Peak Biden was sometime in the 60s.

[FirstFlaBn]

So you’re saying all the polls that went into this average had a zero margin of error? Might want to take a statistics course before posting about polls.

[SmokingJoe]

Slow Joe was never up by the massive 15%, 20% or the gazillion percent that CNN and NBC were claming. Even Reagan didn't win by 20% when we won 49 states in 1984.
These were pure suppression polls for when the early voting started.

[euram]

Biden was never that far ahead and probably never ahead at any time. Fake polls by Fake News. They are all part of the Biden Campaign which is being run exclusively by the media since Biden isn’t actually campaigning.

[Hojczyk]

I think every poll has the GOP losing the election since 1984

[Signalman]

15K people attend a Trump rally.
8 people attend a Biden rally.

What does common sense, something lacking in a whole bunch of people, indicate?

I know it’s a tough question.

[Gamecock]

1960 or at age of 60?

[UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide]

So, you tell me the SD and MOE for N=18024.

[SmokingJoe]

How does margin of error account for that “Biden is ahead by 20%” poll that we had a few weeks back?
Not to mention margin of error doesn't mean it always skews in one direction. On average, the margin of error should approximate to the basic figure, no? The polls are fake.

[philippa]

1960.

[chiller]

there’s somethin’ happenin’ here....what it is ain’t exactly clear:

CNN piles on Pelosi. NYT praises DjT & COVID tactics.

Are they seeing what we’ve known forever and are now seeing it reflected in their CYA polls ?

[wiseprince]

if 4 polls have you down by 15 and 2 polls have you down by 3 how much are you actually down? You can’t just average polls. Nonsense. Don’t know who’s going to win but I know that approach doesn’t make sense and never has.

[Gamecock]

Actually they were at the same time

[ClearCase_guy]

Biden isn’t going wow anyone at a debate.
Biden isn’t going to criss-cross the country with massive rallies.
Biden isn’t going to go on talk shows and charm the nation.

Biden has called on lid on campaigning. The support he has now is, at best, the support he will have in the future. There is no strategy to grow that support.

Trump, on the other hand, is working hard to grow his own support, and also working hard to erode the support for Democrats. This thing only gets better for our side and only gets worse for their side.

[philippa]

Whatever is happening, it’s deliberate. They know Biden’s losing.

[chuckee]

I think the polls showing Biden with a 14 point lead are taking into account the Biden hidden vote, you know, the ones in the cemetery hiding under the dirt.

[DaxtonBrown]

The polls are way off. And who knows, Biden could be ahead 20% - in California and New York.

[z3n]

15K people attend a Trump rally.
8 people attend a Biden rally.

What does common sense, something lacking in a whole bunch of people, indicate?

I know it’s a tough question.

~~~

It’s tougher than it looks on it’s face.

What you have stated demonstrates a massive enthusiasm gap between the two candidates.

The conventional wisdom would mean that this will keep democrats at home when it’s time to vote.

...but the two problems with that conventional wisdom are that democrats do have an enthusiasm factor; Trump hate, and the other wildcard is mailin voting. This is much less a single day voting phenomenon than normal. Put those two things together, and you have a lot of spiteful democrats and a lot of time to get up off ass and do something about it.

[dfwgator]

8 people attend a Biden rally.

"He's right, you know that?"