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It’s the worst September for stocks since 2008. What that means for October.
MarketWatch.com ^ | 9/30/2022 | William Watts

Posted on 09/30/2022 1:53:05 PM PDT by mykroar

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To: mykroar
Dow Jones Market Data, meanwhile, found that in Octobers following a September drop of 7% or more, the Dow has seen an average fall of 1.51% and a median drop of 1.46%. That compares with an average rise of 0.37% for all Octobers and a median gain of 0.79%. The S&P 500 has risen 46.15% of the time in Octobers that follow a 7% or more September decline, versus a rise 57.6% of the time for all Octobers

21 posted on 09/30/2022 2:25:13 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: mykroar

The lefty Dems are doing to America what the did to Afghanistan.

This destruction is intentional, the chaos by design.

Two classes. One party. One Reich!

Hail Hydra!


22 posted on 09/30/2022 2:27:54 PM PDT by Quentin Quarantino
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Perhaps if people elect more democrats, the stock market will skyrocket


23 posted on 09/30/2022 2:32:20 PM PDT by dsrtsage ( Complexity is just simple lacking imagination)
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To: mykroar

I just checked my portfolio. It’s dropped in value 14% in the past 30 days. F*** Joe Biden. Up the rectum with a sharp and splintery old toilet plunger handle.


24 posted on 09/30/2022 2:32:23 PM PDT by Flatus I. Maximus (If Black Lives Matter, how do you explain Chicago?)
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To: mykroar

Lefty Market Watch is the DNC .
Dont believe anything stated here .
All Dem BS all the time .


25 posted on 09/30/2022 2:32:38 PM PDT by ncalburt ( Gop DC Globalists are the evil )
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To: joma89
"Well, I guess this is the time to buy if one is in the market for the long term."

It's tempting. The S&P 500 index fund I usually invest some of my money in (I've been out since Brandon walkered into the WH) is down about 26% from its ATH in January of this year (down 6% since Trump was cheated out of the WH).

Historically, though, the S&P 500 drops more than 30% when it takes more than a few months to drop. In 2020 and 1987 it dropped 30-ish% but those drops were quick (in a few months, of course in 1987 most of the drop was in one day). With both of those it rebounded quickly.

But this isn't a rapid drop. This is more of a slow bleed that's been doing on over 8 months. The 2000 bear lasted 2 and a half years and the S&P dropped 49%. The 2008 bear lasted 1.5 years and the S&P dropped 56%. I don't fee safe jumping back in until it's down at least 40%.

26 posted on 09/30/2022 2:42:02 PM PDT by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

We already in stagflation...next up depression.


27 posted on 09/30/2022 2:44:10 PM PDT by SpokeshaveReturns (Proud Boys, Angry Dads and Grumpy Grandads.)
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To: mykroar

Looks to me that there is further downside to come.

There are sharp rallies during bear markets.

After 13 years of lowering interest rates and the plunge protection team preventing large declines, we are due.

Those who grew up only knowing the market goes up so hold and rebalance are going to get an education.

Beware January.


28 posted on 09/30/2022 2:45:08 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion (Fraud vitiates everything. )
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To: mykroar

I pulled close to half my holdings out of stocks a short while ago.

I’m glad I did it...

Putting it in bullion.
I’m not as anxious now....


29 posted on 09/30/2022 2:47:10 PM PDT by Bobalu (The bear has been poked in the eye..... Now what?)
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To: SpokeshaveReturns

No haven..bonds and investment grade dividend stocks cratering...silver down because main use is in industry..and industrial production is down...as for gold..anyone’s guess.


30 posted on 09/30/2022 2:48:12 PM PDT by SpokeshaveReturns (Proud Boys, Angry Dads and Grumpy Grandads.)
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To: jdt1138

Vanguard short term treasury fund is yielding 3.8%. Minimum $3000 to invest. Plus, it is exempt from state taxes.

https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/mutual-funds/profile/vsbsx


31 posted on 09/30/2022 2:49:35 PM PDT by Ken H (Trump /DeSantis)
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To: SpokeshaveReturns

Also, Crypto, which was always believed to be a hedge against market instability, has tanked.


32 posted on 09/30/2022 2:55:22 PM PDT by fwdude (Racism is not dead, but it is on life support - kept alive by politicians….” — Thomas Sowell)
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To: Flatus I. Maximus
Just since the beginning of this year, mine is down almost 20%. If the GOP can't make a case for getting control of Congress, then they may as well close up shop.
33 posted on 09/30/2022 3:15:58 PM PDT by Major Matt Mason (To solve the Democrat problem, the RINO problem must first be solved.)
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To: mykroar

It’s like dejavubama all over again


34 posted on 09/30/2022 3:20:11 PM PDT by Pollard (Worm Free PureBlood)
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To: mykroar

Personally, I think the least of our worries this October will be stocks.


35 posted on 09/30/2022 3:22:54 PM PDT by cuban leaf (My prediction: Harris is Spiro Agnew. We'll soon see who becomes Gerald Ford, and our next prez.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I give us actually having elections at all a 50/50 chance.


36 posted on 09/30/2022 3:23:50 PM PDT by cuban leaf (My prediction: Harris is Spiro Agnew. We'll soon see who becomes Gerald Ford, and our next prez.)
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To: for-q-clinton

“ The bear won’t end until I sell all my stock.”

The bear won’t end until Joe and Kamala are no more.


37 posted on 09/30/2022 3:26:35 PM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast (Make Orwell Fiction Again)
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To: Scott from the Left Coast

True. But I think a GOP congress could help. They will at least put the breaks on this train wreck.


38 posted on 09/30/2022 3:27:36 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (Cancel Culture IS fascism...Let's start calling it that!)
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To: SpokeshaveReturns

“No haven..bonds and investment grade dividend stocks cratering...silver down because main use is in industry..and industrial production is down...as for gold..anyone’s guess.”

That’s me. Starting to have a real impact on lifestyle for me not as far as food, etc., but a real problem for any travel or other discretionary spending.


39 posted on 09/30/2022 3:32:31 PM PDT by nomorelurker
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To: mykroar

Today was more weird than usual, the Dow was down 500 but the Vix finished negative. This has been a mostly peaceful sell off so far. Waiting for capitulation, the big dump.

Rule-of-thumb, never try to catch a falling knife.


40 posted on 09/30/2022 3:35:00 PM PDT by thepoodlebites (and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.)
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