[MassachusettsGOP]

Nancy Johnson-Not in Trouble, won last 3 elections comfortably

Rob Simmons-Not in Trouble, was a DNC target in 2002, and 2004 after upsetting Congressman Sam Gejdenson in 2000 (D), and survived relatively comfortably in both elections.

Chris Shays-Possibly in Trouble, again. Loses support every year, only beat his current opponent 52-48 in 2004.

[AuH2ORepublican]

"Chris Shays-Possibly in Trouble, again. Loses support every year, only beat his current opponent 52-48 in 2004."

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His district gave President Bush 46% last year, and 2006 will be a much better year for CT Republicans (especially RINOs, unfortunately) than 2004, since there is no presidential race and RINO Governor Rell will probably be coasting to reelection (although one year is several political lifetimes). And even if the decrease in turnout in a non-presidential year affects the Republicans and Democrats proportionally (which it won't---more Democrats will stay home than Republicans), it would be a cinch for Shays to get the extra 4% above the Bush vote that he needs to win. Farrell may keep it close again (although I would be willing to wager that she won't break 45%), but she won't win.