The fact that I drew 20% against Taylor in the Republican primary, while spending less than $25,000 (chump change in the political world), indicates that Taylor cannot even hold his base. Self-evidently, he will not be able to attract a majority of the "undeclared" voters, nor a smattering of "Zell Miller" Democrats, that he needs to win for the ninth time.
In short, if Taylor loses, it will be, as Smith Barney says, "the old fashioned way. He earned it." See my post script for what may happen if Taylor gets indicted in the next few months, either on the Abramoff matter, the Russian bank matter, or other issues.
P.S. info. My primary is over, but because of legal and ethical problems, the incumbent may withdraw/be forced out. He is also losing in the latest poll (5/28) to the Democrat challenger. I seek to be the replacement nominee. For more information see my website. I still need your help.
If he withdraws or is forced out how would a replacement be selected? In any case, if he's forced to withdraw I expect Shuler to be a shoo in.