I think Obama will win 100% but want to wait until the day after the election before the story is written. This isn’t pro wrestling after all.
Its a bloodbath.
OH, Its all over! I guess I’ll plan to go fishing in Costa Rica on election day. sarc.
It is silly to think this is meaningful.
McCain just acts like he doesn’t want this thing. He is the lousiest candidate since Bob Dole.
We held open the gates for McCain on this bailout bill, but he chickened out and didn’t run through.
We did everything we could for him.
What is this, the Chicken Little thread?
If you believe this crap, then I have a swamp to sell you in AZ. There are no toss-up states? Give me a break! They are using polls with overweight given to Dems and you cannot tell me that those white democrats that are conservative are going to flock to a black liberal.
Some of you need to take a deep breath and quit paying attention to garbage polls. I am going to post this once again. In OK, a local pollster ran a poll who understands OK and had McCain up 41 points; Rasmussen ran a poll here during the same time period and had him up 28 points — look at the difference. The poll this week has McCain up 41.56 points. National pollsters do not understand states plus they are polling too many Dems/Indys and not enough Republicans to give them the figures they want.
maybe I am just stuck in the past, but Florida, N.C., and VA going for zero?
Has America changed that much?
We are really going to vote for the most left wing, inexperienced Presidential candidate in history.
I guess that means America has become the land of the Proletarian Panty Waist Chicken-Sh!t.
Of course all of the above, requires you to believe that although the media is stretching and shilling for zero in every other area, they would not shill for zero in the polls.
I don’t know which it is, but you just have to keep your head up. I talk to people all day long and can’t find an Obama supporter that isn’t either black or a hard core lib. I don’t know any middle of the road american who is going for zero.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday is unchanged from the day before with Barack Obama attracting 51% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. This is the sixth straight day that Obama has been at 50% or 51%, the sixth straight day that McCain has been at 44% or 45%, and the sixth straight day the Obama has enjoyed a five or six point lead (see trends).
I believe these polls 100%.
You people do realize that the media onslaught on the McCain/Palin ticket has been UNRELENTLESSLY negative and they have virtually ignored Obama and Biden.
My local paper had 3 negative Palin articles on its OBITURARY page today.
This race is over unless there is a national revolt by the 30% or so fair minded Americans left who see that the fix is in.
Last time I checked it was still 0-0, but I guess its all over. Don’t believe the Establishment press. Same as last time. I’m still getting over Kerry’s 330 electral win.
Pray for W, Gov Palin and Our Troops
This financial crisis is being managed by the Democrats as an election ploy, and I’m sadly beginning to believe it’s working. Their accomplices in the media have now abandoned even any faint pretense of journalistic integrity as they openly campaign for the coronation of their king.
To make matters worse, McCain is once more looking like McCain. He should have used the opportunity provided by the first debate to hammer Obama with the truth that the media will not EVER reveal, starting with the fact that Obama’s cronies are literally the drivers of the financial mess, and following up with exposure regarding Ayres and Rezko.
Unfortunately, McCain did none of this. He is once more behaving like the lukewarm mamby-pamby “bipartisan” we’ve always known him to be. He has been essentially a parrot of the left on the financial crisis, instead of standing up for what the people want. He has also squandered the Sarah Palin factor by trying to turn her into Jane McCain instead of letting her be the woman America fell in love with.
There is of course some bias in virtually all the major polls, but a good deal of this ugly trend is reality-based and we’d be wise not to deny that fact.
MM
On a positive note: Governor Palin can go back to Alaska in peace and start chatting with Todd about secession. Turn a character-killing rumor into a distinct possibility. If I were her, I would. All those resources and all that land ...
Barry’s meeting with Bubba worked.What did he promise Bubba.He only stays one term?
This is simply what a state by state map would look like (roughly) if Obama really led nationally by the 5% RCP average (roughly). I would ignore it. The EC map doesn’t really matter one way or the other unless the national race was within 1.5-2% or so. If a candidate is leading by more than 2 percent nationally, it is a virtual certainty that he will also be leading in enough states to get to 270 EVs, even if you don’t know what specific states.
What you should focus on is who these pollsters are polling and are these people actually representative of likely voters. Virtually all of the pollsters are assuming that Democrats are going to have a huge and historically unprecedented turnout advantage over Republicans on election day — as much as 7-10 points or more in some polls I’ve seen recently. This is badly skewing the RCP average towards Obama, both in national polls and the state by state polls.
But in actual elections, no party has had more than a 4 point advantage in turnout in any Presidential election since 1988. Did you think that the 2006 mid-year election was horrible for the GOP? It was. You know what advantage Democrats had over Repbulicans in that election? 3 percent. That’s right, 3 percent. 37 to 34. Not 10 percent, not even 5 percent. In 2004, the highest turnout election ever in a Presidential election, neither party had any advantage in turnout. In 2000, the Democrats had a 4 point advantage — but Gore defeated Bush nationally by only 0.5% (and, of course, barely lost in the Electoral College — note that this margin is < 1.5%, but I already mentioned this earlier).
These polls are irrelevant. keep your eye on the ball, do NOT look at the water. Hugh Hewitt just said they are neck in neck.
This is not science at this point, it is propaganda and wishful thinking.
Fight on!
Romney would be in the lead now. He could have debated Nobama under the table. But my fellow Republicans wanted McCain. Now you’re going to get Nobama.