You’re not going to win a fight in a Toledo district. And we already tried redistricting Tim Ryan last time around.
You can’t dislodge Fudge. I’m not sure if that district is VRA, but it is 85% Dem.
You pretty much have to give up a Republican incumbent with the current configuration. Boehner is going to have to decide who it is, my money is on Schmidt since she seems to always underperform.
There is no realistic way to get to 13-3 without endangering half the GOP side.
You may be right. I did some back-of-the-envelope calculations based on %vote for Latta (high 60’s in nearby counties), and came up with something like 51% R overall.
However 2010 was an unusually good Republican year, also turnout rates can differ when a seat is hotly contested.
However if a sacrifice is necessary, perhaps the odd Rep out could challenge Sherrod Brown for the Senate seat.