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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m not sure that math still works. 55% of 72% of voters is only 39.6%. If non-white voters vote at the same rate as white voters, we need 40% of the other 28% non-white voters to get to 50.8%. I don’t think there’s any polling that has us that high among non-white voters, so we need a much higher turnout if we only get 55% of all whites.


6 posted on 08/30/2012 7:44:00 PM PDT by MN Doc
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To: MN Doc

The 72% includes people under 18. Since comparatively White have less children on average, the proportion of voting-age for White should be larger a little bit than that number. Then, of course, there is also the issue of turn out.


29 posted on 08/31/2012 2:31:00 AM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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