Don't get cocky kid!!!
DNC Fail was so bad I expect a Romney bounce. lol
ping
The economy sucks, and people know it. The big Zero doesn't have a whole lot of support outside his hardcore leftist base.
In the last 2 months, Rasmussen polling shows about an increase of 2.5% for Rs and about 0.5% decrease for Dems along with 1% loss for Independents.
Actually received my first phone call tonight from the Romney campaign asking for a contribution of 100 dollars. I told the lady on the phone that since Im unemployed I could not afford to give that kind of money but that my vote is more precious than any amount of money, she agreed :-) The fact that they are calling supporters in CA of all places is a very good sign. Dont believe the Gallop polls or other leftist polls Romney is doing very well
Heh heh.
I was soooooooo sick and fed up with every speech being hailed as the turning point in which Obama was going to beat Romney for good.
good post, thanks
Yes, except it’s double counting to count how much Democrats are oversampled PLUS how much Republicans are undersampled. That’s really a four point swing.
I don’t see how Romney loses if he’s ahead with independents, assuming no fixing, etc. and of course this prediction would refer to the popular vote, not the electoral college.
Now, 4 pts is margin of error, or nearly, so according to this particular poll he could still lose.
But I don’t think anyone can win by just winning their base, they have to win the mushy-middlers to gain victory.
Last days of a failed regime.
That DNC Klan meeting in Charlotte was hard to ignore.
And that’s what the model from the Colorado profs has predicted....53 47 Mitt with 320EV
I think it’s silly to call Missouri, North Carolina, and Wisconsin swing states as many liberal outfits are. I do believe that an electoral victory for Romney and a popular vote victory for Obama has about a 10% gamblers chance of happening. If you were playing keno, top bottom, the chance of a tie would be about 10%. The chance of an Obama electoral victory would be less than .5%.
Don't get cocky kid!!!
For the first time in decades, pollsters should be put on notice that ‘juicing’ the numbers to keep the election tight is not going to work.
So far, a couple of them have seen the handwriting on the wall and are reducing the number of +dems in their analysis.
The rest will have to follow suit to stay relevant in future elections.
The Ras numbers don’t make sense to me as every other poll I see over samples Democrats, never Republicans.
Of course not! I’ll be recording MSNBC on election night for the comedy. Want to bet that Chrissy cries?
The only polling data I pay attention to is Nate Silver at the NY Times. The man is a brilliant statistician and relatively fair-minded (even though he works for the Times). He nailed the last election down to a split in Nebraska. Everything else is a waste of time. His current data does not make me very optimistic. Romney may need to go on a full-on offensive to turn things around.