how was this one weighted?
The anti-Romney trolls are telling us Romney is behind in the polls and we must believe them.
I live in FL, a purple tending blue area.
In 2008, I knew a LOT of Obama voters. When I asked people WHY they were voting for him, the answers ranged from “We need a change” (OK) to “He’s a nice guy” (huh?) to “Because he’s black (makes me despair for our country, that people could be so racist. Idiots).
I don’t know ANY real Obama voters now, although I do know some who are confused about where Romney stands on the issues, due to our very liberal papers, who are not 100% sure. (”Romney wants to end Medicare!”) And every one of my doctors HATES Obama.
By the way, I met a very successful businessman just today who told me if Obama wins he’s shuttering a large part of his business. He said it’s just too expensive to make money.
Whoops, I meant purple tending RED, not blue.
The Purple Poll (Purple Strategies) polls the states it thinks the election hinges upon. The entire poll is interesting for a few reasons. They claim the poll is likely voters but it does not tell us what the D/R/I breakdown is to except to say the poll is 75% landlines (read elderly and/or poor) and 25% cell users.
The numbers that really seem to stick out like a sore thumb is that Romney’s unfavorables are much higher than his favorables. That tells me Romney has to spend at least some of his ad budget selling himself as opposed to just attacking Obama. The president’s favorable/unfavorables are always within a point or two of each other and, in some states, more people say they will vote for Obama than have a favorable opinion of him or approve the job he is doing.
In other words, Romney isn’t closing the sale - something we also heard during the primaries. Here is the state-by-state breakdown for what it is worth:
Colorado: O 48, R 45 (Romney F 42 U 49) Certain: 93
Florida: R 48, O 47 (Romney F 44 U 49) Certain: 93
Ohio: O 48, R 44 (Romney F 36 U 52) Certain: 90
Virginia: O 46, R 43 (Romney F 38 U 52) Certain: 90
North Carolina: O 48, R 46 (Romney F 42 U 47) Certain: 91
Certain reflects the percentage who are certain they won’t change their vote.
On the last page, they have the D/R/I broken down by state:
CO: 34/33/29
FL: 37/38/24
OH: 38/36/26
VA: 36/32/30
NC: 40/35/23
Well, we can see right there what’s wrong with the North Carolina poll. No way is that percentage likely on election day. The other ones look fairly representative.
If you look at their past months, though, Obama made great strides in September which makes you wonder if they will bounce back toward Romney in October or continue the trend toward Obama.
Don’t shoot the messenger. I’m just giving you the numbers breakdown from the source.
This doesn’t make any sense because O’Reilly and Lou Dobbs were saying Obama was pulling away in FL, VA , and OH
After the first debate Mitt and Obamugabe the choice will be clear...a vote for Obama is a vote against America.