“Zero has zero chance here in NC. Pat McCrory is up 14% in the governors race in the polls, I expect Romney to do almost as good here. I’ve been saying 2008 was a fluke here, there is no way the teleprompter in chief would win this state this time around.”
You are TOTALLY RIGHT. 2008 was an outlier - McCain had done all he could to alienate the Republican base (to the point of telling them to shut up when they mentioned Obama’s middle name). Well, it’s 2012, and the first thing that Obama did in office was alienate the White voter - with that racial crap in MA. He did fine holding his black base, but he gave up on the middle and now people are focusing on the election - and they’ve had enough of him.
As to NC and Virginia, for that matter - they were NEVER in play - due to their still-conservative majorities. I’ve been saying that for months, even when the polls looked bad. The problem with that polling was that people weren’t focusing. It’s surprising that Obama’s campaign was stupid enough to keep spending money there. They should have been covering the more competitive states more. We can only thank their stupid advisory who went for those states - he did Romney a HUGE favor.