Posted on 10/20/2012 7:36:37 PM PDT by NY4Romney
As the presidential election approaches, I've decided to make a guide to keep some of us from freaking out as polls close and states are called. I'm basing it off of what happened in 2008.
7PM * Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, and Virginia will close. * In 2008: Kentucky called for McCain, Vermont for Obama. The rest were too close to call. *Good news in 2012: Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina all called for Romney at the close. *Bad news in 2012: Any of the above considered too close to call for Romney at close. *We've likely won if: Virginia is called for Romney at closing. *We've likely lost if: Virginia is called for Obama at close (or any time after).
7:30PM *Ohio, North Carolina, and West Virginia close. *In 2008, Ohio and NC were too close to call, WV went for McCain at close. *In 2012, it will likely go the same way. *Good news in 2012: North Carolina called for Romney at close. *Bad news in 2012: North Carolina called for Obama at close (or any time after).
8PM *Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Washington DC. *In 2008, Obama got Connecticut, Delaware, DC, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. McCain got only Oklahoma and Tennessee at close. *Good news in 2012: Romney gets Oklahoma, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, and Missouri at close. Pennsylvania, Florida and New Hampshire are too close to call. Bad news in 2012: Any from the point above are "too close to call", Pennsylvania is called for Obama early (even if Obama ends up winning it, if we keep it too close to call it's bad for Obama), New Hampshire is called for Obama early. We've likely won if: Florida, New Hampshire, or Pennsylvania are called for Romney at closing.
8:30PM *Arkansas only, which was called right away for McCain and will again be called right away for Romney.
9PM *Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, South Dakota, Texas, Wisconsin, Wyoming. *In 2008, Obama got Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, New York, and Rhode Island at poll closing time. McCain got Texas, Wyoming and Kansas. *Good news in 2012: Romney gets Texas, Wyoming, Arizona, Louisiana, Nebraska and Kansas at close. Michigan, Wisconsin, Colorado are too close to call. *Bad news in 2012: Any from point above that should close for Romney are too close to call. Michigan, Wisconsin, or Colorado go for Obama right at close. *We likely win if: Wisconsin or Colorado are called for Romney at close.
!0PM *Iowa, Montana, Nevada, Utah close. *In 2008, Iowa called for Obama. Utah for McCain. Other two too close to call at close. *In 2012, good news is: Montana and Utah called at close for Romney. Iowa and Nevada too close to call. *Bad news in 2012: Nevada or Iowa called for Obama at close. Montana too close to call. *We likely win if: Iowa is called for Romney at close.
Past 10 pm, the remaining states are obvious and will be called right at closing time just like in 2008.
This guide is only explaining what is good or bad for us right when the polls close, using exit polls. Obviously, exit polls can be wrong, and this is simply a loose guideline, but using it we can get an idea of how things are going fairly early on in the night by simply comparing to what happened in 2008. In 2008, typical safe Republican states were considered too close to call, which is when I KNEW McCain had lost badly.
That evening I will be in a very deep SELF INDUCED coma compliments of a 2mg Xanax and a bottle of Wine. I will be pulling my hair during the day, but will self medicaid in the evening. PRAYERS IN THE MORNING then straight to the voting booth, listen to Rush, have lunch and hit the bottle. MY NERVES will NOT be able to take the stress. GOD HELP ME! I will be climbing walls all that day. UGH! I can just cry right now thinking about it! STRESSFUL day! God grant us the victory!
At what time is Chrissy Matthews scheduled to commit suicide on national TV?
When Ohio is called for Romney. ;)
Early I hope.
Thanks for this. I’m going to be a basket case anyway.
I was trying to think of what to fix for dinner that night but realized I probably won’t be able to eat :( .
Thanks for this. I’m going to be a basket case anyway.
I was trying to think of what to fix for dinner that night but realized I probably won’t be able to eat :( .
I’m going to spend November 5th in prayer and fasting. Asking God for a miracle and mercy for our country.
I will go vote early on the 6th, listen to Rush, stay right here with our conservative Americans. I do not watch TV. Only radio is Rush, Hannity and sometimes Levin. I won’t be listening to the returns other than online.
When all is done, God is still LORD of ALL and that will NEVER CHANGE!!
Due to foreseen circumstances , maybe provide good sources of election results online. freerepublic will possibly be slow or unavailable even as early as when polls close in KY. Twitter will be overloaded.
I’m going to hopefully be in a FreeRepublic Chat room (if there isn’t one I will make one) with all of you guys. I will have takeout for dinner, and have the TV on CNN (Fox news has ugly graphics for their maps, MSNBC has the best but I can stand watching them, and CNN has a lot of analysis and the main newscaster, Anderson Cooper, is fairly impartial). I will also have my computer open to the fox news map where I can watch county level returns, and compare them to county level returns in 2008.
Rose, I hope those morning prayers ... you can extend til afternoon and chill on the xanax. maybe even the wine. I will be campaigning until 8pm Eastern time. Sobriety required.
Virginia demographics are distinctive, with so many voters beholden to FedGov for their fortune. I could see a loss in VA coupled with wins in NC, FL, OH, PA, MI, WI and CO, presumably getting MR to 270+ EV.
We here in CA get to enjoy all the Election Night drama as it ripples West.
I remember it was about 7:00 p.m. (I had already voted earlier in the day) when FL was called first for Gore, then for Bush.
Rose: I couldn’t have said it better!! Xanax all around!
I’ll be on my knees in prayer for most of the day!
Or scheduled to be inebriated.
Nice work
I'll drink about 3 bottles of beer...Yuenling....and that'll be all I can do.....I too am very nervous....
may God have mercy on us....
which reminds me I need to go donate and anyone else who has
n’t please do so soon so we can be up and running full speed by “the” night...
I meant “not a good combination”.......sounds like I’ve drank a bit already lol.
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