[Ken H]

Obama, or any Dem, starts off with NY/CA/IL, all EV-rich. Until recently it was assumed that PA/WI/MN would also be automatically in Obama’s column. The Republican, on the other hand, generally has the EVs from the South, but it takes a lot of southern and other states to match the base of any Dem’s EVs.

That's been known for years. What numbers is he looking at today that show Obama with a clearer path to getting more EVs than Romney?

[comebacknewt]

I am sure it is the fact that most polls show Obama with a slight lead in Ohio (although under 50%), and that Romney’s path to victory without Ohio is very tough. Not impossible, but very tough.