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To: Lake Living
Cruz is a wise guy, ha, ha! Very wise! A consummate chess player. He knows when and how to make his moves and CNN could never reach high enough to carry his chess board for him let alone tell him how to move his king. But they are correct to worry. He is almost the total antithesis of what they stand for.

Sadly, facts are facts. Real Clear Politics averages polls. He's in 7th or 8th place nationally and in New Hampshire and Iowa. He's doing better in South Carolina, where he is in 4th place.

You can't plausibly claim he's outsmarting anyone or in the first tier. He's mired in the middle of the pack with the likes of Rick Perry and Christie.

100 posted on 07/07/2015 8:41:50 AM PDT by Jack Black ( Disarmament of a targeted group is one of the surest early warning signs of future genocide.)
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To: Jack Black; Lake Living
Hi Jack. I can plausibly claim that there are serious problems with polling. Those were evidenced most recently with Bibi Netanyahu's run-away victory in Israel's recent election. Prior to that was the republican landslide in November that supposedly was to close to call.

I've read a number of reports on this, and it has zero to do with my support or lack of support for Ted Cruz. They were across the board.

Polling is seriously influenced with 2 problems the experts have been unable to solve. (1) The lack of dedicated land lines in homes (cell phone problem), and (2) the unwillingness of so many even to answer their phones to unknown numbers.

Here's one article:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/govbeat/wp/2014/03/12/the-problem-with-modern-polling-in-one-chart/

As you can see, they're only getting through 60% of the time and only 10% of those are responding to them.

This is not partisan, but it has great implications for someone like Cruz who gets huge crowds and raises huge money. It is entirely possible that he is appealing to an electorate that protects their privacy.

103 posted on 07/07/2015 9:14:11 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray for their victory or quit saying you support our troops)
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To: Jack Black
So far he's back at 6 or 7.

I think if he gets in the first debate, he moves to third or fourth. His ability to debate and speak off the cuff, handling the insanity of liberal interviews is going to get him far.

That's going to be big.

105 posted on 07/07/2015 10:16:09 AM PDT by Lakeshark
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To: Jack Black

Didn’t you read:

Here’s one article:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/govbeat/wp/2014/03/12/the-problem-with-modern-polling-in-one-chart/

Cruz is the best man, period! There’s still over a year left. I’ll wait. You can go ahead and trust the polls.


121 posted on 07/09/2015 7:38:54 PM PDT by Lake Living
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