In 2004, Vermont Governor Howard Dean had a national lead in the polling, and it put him a close race with Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, and North Carolina Senator John Edwards. Meanwhile, he had a massive lead in polling in New Hampshire – the Iowa caucuses took place on January 19, and the last polls before that had him up significantly on General Wesley Clark, as well as Kerry.
After he lost Iowa in a landslide to both Kerry and Edwards, Dean screamed and imploded. He didn’t win a single primary other than Vermont and the District of Columbia.
Any thoughts on this comparison?
I expect Trump to come in first or second. Either one will get him through NH and SC.