[Parley Baer]

“McLaughlin said that most pollsters made the mistake of looking at the 2016 election “like through a rearview mirror.”

I guess most of us here on FR are smarter than most of the pollsters. We new that you could not use the 2012 data and predict the outcome of the 2016 election.

[cgbg]

I guess most of us here on FR are smarter than most of the pollsters. We new that you could not use the 2012 data and predict the outcome of the 2016 election.

I was stunned at how stupid the pollsters were on that point.

They were so in the tank for Hillary that they literally couldn't think straight. That overrode their basic instinct for self-preservation.

[x]

We new that you could not use the 2012 data and predict the outcome of the 2016 election.We new that you could not use the 2012 data and predict the outcome of the 2016 election.

Predicting turnout can be tricky. There's a certain amount of guessing involved.

Mitt Romney "knew" that you couldn't rely on 2008 turnout data to predict the 2012 election results. In the end, though, it turned out that Democrat turnout was higher than he expected and it cost him bigtime. The expected drop in Democrat votes didn't happen that time around.