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To: 2ndDivisionVet
In both states, Miller said, internal polls showed a “dead heat,” and he predicted that campaigning in both places would spike. In Michigan, of course, that prediction was borne out. Trump won the state by the skin of his teeth, 11,000 votes. In New Mexico, though, he got blown out, losing by eight percentage points.

Strange that the article fails to note that, even during the weekend before the election, almost every polling outfit was predicting a significant Hillary victory, and Trump reversed that by taking 6 major states that he was not expected to take.

17 posted on 05/15/2018 9:29:07 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Teacher317
NOV 7 2016 Time Magazine:

NOV 8 2016 actual results:

WI, MI, PA, NC, and FL all flipped to red... that's 90 of 538 (almost exactly 1 out of 6, or 16.7%).

Also... Time had Alaska as merely "likely"... it went 51-36...
and they had Utah as merely "likely"... and Hillary almost finished third (45-27-21)

And let us not forget that Maine (47-44), Minnesota (46-45), and Nevada (47-45) were all in play... and New Hampshire (46-46) was a toss-up. Even Virginia (49-44) and Colorado (48-43) were in range.

Hillary got less than 28.95% in six states. Trump was not that low in any state (worst was 30.03% in HI... although he got only 4% in DC, of course).

Hillary could have been under 190 EVs without much of a change. 270,000 votes was the difference, total, for ME, MN, NV, NH, and CO... VA was 220,000 more. A half million well-placed votes, out of 132 million, makes it a 350-188 final tally.

18 posted on 05/15/2018 9:59:39 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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