No model will be able to predict this election because all of the models are taking into account of past elections. This time around 15 states with a total of 197 electoral college votes going to the national popular vote total. This is over half of the majority required electoral college votes, 270, going to the candidate who wins the popular vote thus circumventing the electoral college. Since there is a three-hour difference between the time the polls close on the east coast to the west coast, the difference can be made up with phone calls to the west. Through the US Constitution states are given the latitude on how these votes are apportioned. Election night will change and if not correctly regulated DJT will not be re-elected because the election will be stolen by the likes of California, Hawaii, and Alaska. Who only need to make it look close but have the “correct” candidate win with the most popular votes. The SCOTUS cannot change this without changing the Constitution.
No , you need all the states to total 270 for the popular vote before it would go to congress and the supreme court, it doesn’t matter if Potus doesn’t get the popular as long as he gets 270 electoral votes he get’s it all.