[crasher]

Oh, and Cook now has Gerlach as not just Leaning Republican, but Likely Republican.

[Torie]

Cook updated Penn and not Florida. I disagree with Cook on Gekas as I do Rothenberg. I have crunced the numbers in a way I don't think they have. Holden simply has to hold onto too many Bush voters in his old part of the district to make it a tossup. And Gekas got more votes in the primary than Holden did, showing that Gekas still has strong pulling power in Dauphin County, and will probably run better there than Bush did. I'm standing by my number. Gekas has a 65% chance of winning. And of course Gekas will end up with plenty of money.