[BlackRazor]

Demographics say the GOP should be slightly favored in this race, but the Democrats have made it into a toss-up, on account of Holden's moderate views and the fact he is acknowledged as a much better campaigner than Gekas. Personally, I'd been leaning Dem on this race for awhile, so I suppose it's somewhat encouraging to see that the contest is still a statistical tie (according to internal polls from both parties). This could be one of those bellwether races.

[BlackRazor]

FYI. Do you want me to regularly flag you on stuff like this that I post?

[conservative_2001]

The NRCC's ability to see problems here may save this seat. If they're really going to spend $1.5 million here, it's going to be hard to beat a Republican Member of Congress in a Republican district like this one. I'm sure the Democrats will spend heavily too. Gekas needs to get his act together or he could actually lose this for us.

[Coop]

The other races where two incumbents were thrown together are in Mississippi, Illinois and Connecticut. Strategists in both parties say polling shows the Pennsylvania race is the most competitive of the four. The others appear to be more favorable for the GOP.

That's encouraging.