Where are we in the race(s) for the Senate?

[ConservativeDude]

Predictions?

[Coop]

Democrats - 59, Republicans - 41

[BlackRazor]

Democrats - 59, Republicans - 41

You're forgetting the Chafee switch. That'll make it Democrats - 60, Republicans - 40, giving them a filibuster-proof majority.

[Coop]

Ooohh, and I just heard that Torricelli - in a legal and ethical manner - dropped out the NJ Senate race.

Democrats - 61, Republicans - 39

[ConservativeDude]

good heavens. i was hoping for something more uplifting.

[The Old Hoosier]

Wellstone, Carnahan and Johnson will lose. Hutchinson will also lose, but Republicans keep the five open seats and Allard hangs on, leaving a 51-49 Republican Senate (if my math is right).

[Surge-on]

Those two demoRATS are going to be a bit surprised when they lose the Senate once more. Rats are LOSERS!

[ConservativeDude]

I like this analysis better. And even with the pending Chaffee switch, that puts us back at 50 50.

[Coop]

What?!? Hutch is in trouble??? Oh dear, now I'm going to have to go back to the drawing board.

[ultima ratio]

Actually Hutchinson's pulling even in the latest polls. Carnahan going under. Thune ahead of Johnson by four points. Wellstone going under. Forester doing better than expected. Sorry, you lose.

[Coop]

If that's the case, then I'm not golfing with McAuliffe any more!

[pbranham]

And even with the pending Chaffee switch, that puts us back at 50 50.

Chafing won't switch unless it's 50-50, in which case he will almost definitely switch.

So, in effect, a 50-50 Senate is an impossibility.

[EternalVigilance]

Every election has its surprises...things no one saw coming.

West Virginia FReeper Jay Wolfe has been ignored by the entire political establishment in his bid to unseat liberal incumbent U.S. Senator Jay Rockefeller...but they also wrote the state off in 2000 as unwinnable for Bush.

Thank God the rank and file Republicans of West Virginia didn't have the same losing attitude...if they did, Gore would be in the White House right now. (~shudder~)

Grassroots conservatives are working their hearts out across the Mountain State to get the message and the GOP vote out. We shall see if they can get it done. I for one believe it is possible.

EV

[ConservativeDude]

trust me, there are a few folks across the nation who know what the grassroots movement in West Virginia has acccomplished....and some of us know full well that without little 'ole WV, Gore would be President, as you point out!

so keep up the great work and who knows, come election day, maybe the good Jay will win! regardless, your work for the years prior to the 2000 election will go down as one of the great grass roots movements in US history.

[BlackRazor]

West Virginia FReeper Jay Wolfe has been ignored by the entire political establishment in his bid to unseat liberal incumbent U.S. Senator Jay Rockefeller...but they also wrote the state off in 2000 as unwinnable for Bush.

Who exactly was writing off Bush as having a chance in WV? Of the 13 state-wide polls I'm aware of that were released out of WV during 2000, Bush led in 11 of them. To my recollection, WV was considered in play all along. If there were similiar poll results for Jay Wolfe, I'm sure people wouldn't be ignoring this race.

[mwl1]

I share your optimism. Plus, we always outspend the RATS in the final several weeks, so being presently tied in a number of the House and Senate races is a good sign.

Anything can and still may go wrong, but I have to credit the White House for getting all the forces into array beautifully for this election.

[BplusK]

This site - http://www.takebackcongress.org/twelve%20hot%20races.htm - is keeping track of the most critical races.

[Fledermaus]

Chafing won't switch unless it's 50-50, in which case he will almost definitely switch.

Hmmm, maybe the sniper will head to Rhode Island!

[EternalVigilance]

So why did they invest less than 10 grand here? They raised over a quarter million in the state...but by the time it was over, they were even pulling signs out of here and sending them to other states. Shoot, signs were virtually the only investment they made.

The election was decided here by 4 things, ultimately: 1. Bush visited repeatedly. 2. Gore sucked, and the voters knew it. 3. The gun issue. 4. Strong grassroots work in the precincts.

Rockefeller has an 'F' from the NRA...Wolfe has an 'A'...and the 300,000 plus hunting license holders know it.

We have the best organization going the state has seen...there are counties that have never been organized down to the precinct level by the GOP that have now been organized by the Wolfe volunteers.

Besides, this is a midterm election...historically very low turnout for the Dems. 250,000 votes will in all likelihood win it for us.

The Republicans are getting energized, and working their hearts out to get out the vote---who knows?

[EternalVigilance]

If there were similiar poll results for Jay Wolfe, I'm sure people wouldn't be ignoring this race.

If the Senatorial Committee wasn't afraid to spend at least some modest amount of THEIR (HA) money in WV, maybe there would be some poll results...but so far, not a stinkin dime. I'll be d*mned if I'm going to take scant resources that are winning votes and give them to a pollster to tell me what I already know.

Instead, they invest hundreds of thousands into Mike Taylor, and into campaigns that are already flush with cash. When I heard Taylor whine about how little he had received (only a million!) before his cowardly withdrawal on Hannity's show the other day, I wanted to drive to MT and strangle him (figuratively speaking, of course.)

With the $250,000 the leadership of this Party could give Wolfe with no pain or loss on their part, we could put away Rockefeller for good...I am sure of it.

One visit by the President would be helpful too.