10/28 SurveyUSA Poll Results [CA, KS, MD, MI, SC]

Seems like a late trend towards the Democrats in these and other polls. Just like I've been predicting for weeks.

Where specifically? Some races are moving towards the Dems. Others are moving towards the GOP. I don't see an underlying overall trend in one direction or the other. The Democrats seem to have some slight momentum in the Senate, but the GOP seems to have slight momentum in the House. All in all, I'm not expecting much net movement on election night.

Where specifically?

South Carolina U.S. Senate 10/28/2002
Graham (R) 49%
Sanders (D) 48%
Undecided/Other 4%

This would be one, if accurate. That's a huge move. I saw on another site that Graham's way up in a different poll. To catch trends though, it's less important which poll you look at then to compare the same poll over time. What did this poll show a few weeks ago?

Also, Bentley is now clearly trailing in a MD House race. That's a major turnaround. She led a few weeks ago. And then there's the NC and NH Senate races, where the trend is not good.

This would be one, if accurate. That's a huge move. I saw on another site that Graham's way up in a different poll.

Personally, I think SurveyUSA is miscalling the South Carolina races. They are the only polling organization to have the Senate race in single digits, and they are also the only organization showing Hodges with a significant lead in the Governor's race. As you inferred, last night's Mason-Dixon poll put Graham up by 17 points, and Sanford up by 7 in the gubernatorial contest.

Also, Bentley is now clearly trailing in a MD House race. That's a major turnaround.

She never led by more than 2 points. I had that race going Dem all along, based on the district's composition. There's been movement towards the GOP in many House races over the past week: AL-03, NV-03, AZ-01, IN-02, SD-AL, KS-03, WV-02, just to name a few.

And then there's the NC and NH Senate races, where the trend is not good.

I agree with you here. I always thought NC was the most vulnerable of the GOP's southern open seat Senate races, and felt if they had a chance at losing one of them it would be NC. Still, Dole is nearly at 50%. Bowles has to capture almost all the undecideds, or take more support away from Dole. It could happen, but I think it's getting late. I think NH is the determining race of the entire Senate picture. If Sununu pulls this one out, I think the GOP wins the Senate. If not, I think the Dems keep it.

I had no idea it would be so easy to bring out those wonderful conservative family values.

My point newbie, is that the only reason you are here is disrupt this forum.
Your man Clintoon, has led the way of moral decay across the country,
and as far as President Bush, He is a real man, and trustworthy, can you say that about the Toon.
So go back to Dummys underground. I am sure you will be banned soon enough.

In 2000 Bush blamed "finger-pointing partisanship" for the lack of progress in Washington. But that's all he's been doing, and that won't change after Nov. 5.

What's an example of that? Or is trying to get his agenda from being stopped dead in the Senate your idea of "finger-pointing partisanship"?

The most powerful appeal Bush made in 2000 was that he would produce results, not excuses. But on prescription drugs, a patients' bill of rights and homeland security (to name a few), Bush has failed to work with the Senate as he said he would do.

What do you mean by "Bush has failed to work with the Senate"? You mean acquiesced in their versions of those bills like having workers in the Homeland Security Dept. being next to impossible to fire, just because the Democrats get tons of money from labor unions? Like he acquiesced in the airport security bill, when, rather than the alternative of no bill at all, he agreed to federalize thousands of airport workers? I guess he was "working with" the Senate there. He should probably "work with" the Senate by agreeing to roll back the tax cut and also agree to their version of prescription drug benefits that covers everybody, even billionaires and costs 3 times as much as his version.

Bush's tax cut proposal when taxes were the highest as a percentage of GDP since World War II was a big part of his appeal, along with the general lawlessness of the Clinton administration, including Gore, who lied to FBI agents and said he wasn't at a meeting where illegal campaign contributions were being discussed.

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