To: KayEyeDoubleDee
None. I am a consumer of news and information who wants some means to evaluate ephemeral things like polls. However, one does not need a background in statistics to do the simple math required for this study. Either a result was within its poll's MOE or it was not as compared to the actual election results. Not rocket science. In fact, not science at all, but plain old-fashioned athritmatic and observation.
12 posted on
10/21/2003 1:12:54 AM PDT by
Wolfstar
(NO SECURITY = NO ECONOMY)
To: KayEyeDoubleDee
Ooops, that should be "arithmetic" not the misspelled "arithmatic." I've been up waaay too late trying to get this posted. Time to hit the sack.
13 posted on
10/21/2003 1:18:23 AM PDT by
Wolfstar
(NO SECURITY = NO ECONOMY)
To: Wolfstar
Either a result was within its poll's MOE or it was not as compared to the actual election resultsI'm not trying to be a critic here, and I totally appreciate your efforts. However, I am almost positive that, for example, a MOE of 5% means something like "there is a 90% chance that the actual results will lie within +/-5% of the poll results." Anyway, something to think about.
16 posted on
10/21/2003 1:40:03 AM PDT by
KayEyeDoubleDee
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